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AUD/USD moves below 0.6450 ahead of the RBA decision

  • AUD/USD trades lower around 0.6430 after China’s downbeat Caixin Services PMI.
  • Economists anticipate that RBA will keep key interest rates at 4.10%.
  • Traders seek RBA’s tone for clear indications of future rate hikes.

AUD/USD retreats from the previous day’s gains, trading lower around 0.6430 during the Asian session on Tuesday. The pair is experiencing downward pressure ahead of the key Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) Interest Rate Decision. Furthermore, China’s Caixin Services PMI for August declined to the reading of 51.8 from 54.1 prior. The reduction in the Chinese services economy weighs on the pair.

According to a Reuters poll, economists are forecasting no change in interest rates on Tuesday, as inflation appears to be moderating, and they expect the rate to remain at 4.10%. All eyes will be on the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) Statement's tone for clear indications of future rate hikes, potentially providing support for the Australian Dollar (AUD) to maintain its strength.

The Aussie pair is unable to sustain support from China's stimulus measures and the agreement between Country Garden and creditors for an extension on onshore debt repayments worth 3.9 billion yuan ($536 million) boosted the market optimism.

 As said, China's willingness to open up its services industry, coupled with advancements in manufacturing activities, adds to a series of measures aimed at reducing mortgage rates and injecting more liquidity into the economy to underpin the AUD/USD pair.

US Dollar Index (DXY), which compares the Greenback against six other major currencies, trades higher around 104.20 at the time of writing. The steady labor growth in August and the recovery in US Treasury yields helped the buck to maintain its strength.

Furthermore, the buck could experience upward support as investors are still pricing in the odds of a 25 basis points (bps) rate hike by the US Federal Reserve (Fed). Additionally, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland President Loretta J. Mester supported the Fed’s hawkish stance and dismissed the possibility of a bias toward rate cuts in a speech on Friday. Market participants await the US Factory Orders (Jul) to gain clear directions.

AUD/USD: additional important levels

Overview
Today last price0.6435
Today Daily Change-0.0027
Today Daily Change %-0.42
Today daily open0.6462
 
Trends
Daily SMA200.6459
Daily SMA500.6602
Daily SMA1000.6641
Daily SMA2000.672
 
Levels
Previous Daily High0.648
Previous Daily Low0.6445
Previous Weekly High0.6522
Previous Weekly Low0.6401
Previous Monthly High0.6724
Previous Monthly Low0.6364
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%0.6467
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%0.6458
Daily Pivot Point S10.6444
Daily Pivot Point S20.6427
Daily Pivot Point S30.6409
Daily Pivot Point R10.648
Daily Pivot Point R20.6498
Daily Pivot Point R30.6515

Author

Akhtar Faruqui

Akhtar Faruqui is a Forex Analyst based in New Delhi, India. With a keen eye for market trends and a passion for dissecting complex financial dynamics, he is dedicated to delivering accurate and insightful Forex news and analysis.

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