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AUD/USD marches firmly above 0.7000 as the USD weakens

  • The greenback is under pressure as recession fears mount, as the Fed lifts rates to the 1.75% threshold.
  • The US housing market started to weaken as Housing Starts shrank.
  • Australia’s labor market strengthens and further cement a scenario of an RBA rate hike.

AUD/USD climbs during the North American session. Earlier, the major reached a daily high near 0.7035 though the rally was short-lived as traders recoiled its bullish bets, amidst a dampened market mood, with global equities falling. However, after reaching a daily low at around0.6940s, the AUD/USD bounced off that level and is gaining some 0.36%, trading at around 0.7025.

Harmful US economic data weighs on the buck

Of late, the AUD/USD pared some of its earlier losses on the back of worst-than-expected US economic data. US Housing Starts declined -by 14.4%, while Building Permits followed suit, down -by 7%. The Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Index for June shrank for the first time, since May 2020, down -3.3 in June, against estimations of a 5.5 reading.

During the Asian session, Australia’s employment figures were better than expected. The Aussie economy added 61K new jobs to the economy, more than the 25K estimated, and the Unemployment rate held steadily around 3.9%.

Details of the report were also strong reinforcing market wagers the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) will deliver another half-point rate hike in July to reach 1.35%.

Analysts at ANZ said, “This continued strength in the labour market supports our view that the RBA will hike the cash rate a further 50bp in July.”

Elsewhere, US equities are plummeting, illustrating a gloomy market mood resulting from the Fed rate hike. On Wednesday, Fed Chair Jerome Powell said that although rate hikes of that size (75 bps) are not common, he reiterated that the July meeting is open for a move of that size  or 50 bps.

Meanwhile, US Treasury yields, albeit heading down, remain steady above the 3% threshold. Contrarily the greenback remains soft, as illustrated by the US Dollar Index, at 103.699, down 1.10%.

Key Technical Levels

AUD/USD

Overview
Today last price0.7026
Today Daily Change0.0024
Today Daily Change %0.34
Today daily open0.7002
 
Trends
Daily SMA200.7113
Daily SMA500.7158
Daily SMA1000.7222
Daily SMA2000.7246
 
Levels
Previous Daily High0.7025
Previous Daily Low0.6861
Previous Weekly High0.7248
Previous Weekly Low0.7036
Previous Monthly High0.7267
Previous Monthly Low0.6828
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%0.6962
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%0.6924
Daily Pivot Point S10.69
Daily Pivot Point S20.6798
Daily Pivot Point S30.6736
Daily Pivot Point R10.7064
Daily Pivot Point R20.7127
Daily Pivot Point R30.7228

Author

Christian Borjon Valencia

Markets analyst, news editor, and trading instructor with over 14 years of experience across FX, commodities, US equity indices, and global macro markets.

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