• AUD/USD is on the back foot despite a bruised US dollar. 
  • Investors remain concerned over China's economy and COVID lockdowns.

At 0.7085, AUD/USD is trading down some 0.31%, sliding from a high of 0.7107 to a low of 0.7056.  

The Australian dollar eased on Tuesday as global stocks underperformed while investors remain concerned over China's economy and COVID lockdowns. At the start of the week, traders favoured the pledges of more stimulus from China's government over the prospects of a prolonged lockdown in various regions of the nation that still struggles with the pandemic. 

"The government's dynamic zero-COVID policy will remain in place through 2022, preventing a return to normalcy and limiting the effectiveness of new fiscal and monetary stimulus measures," warned S&P Global. "Thus, real GDP growth will likely slow from 8.1% in 2021 to 4.3% in 2022." "New geopolitical, financial, or supply-side shocks could tip the world economy into recession."

Meanwhile, with central banks in the picture, the US dollar's appeal has been hit due to other central bankers speaking out and carrying hawkish rhetoric.  The DXY index, which measures a basket of currencies vs. the US dollar printed a fresh one-month low on Tuesday after European Central Bank President Christine Lagarde said eurozone interest rates will likely be in positive territory by the end of the third quarter. This supported the euro in a correction higher and weighed on the greenback. 

RBA in focus

As for the Reserve Bank of Australia, consumer spending seems to have held up well to the Reserve Bank of Australia's (RBA) first hike in interest rates earlier this month. However, some of the data of late may not have met the mark. 

''The Wage Price Index (WPI) came in below expectations in the first quarter at a low 0.7% QoQ (0.65%), the same rate as in the fourth quarter 2021,'' analysts at ANZ Bank explained, adding that ''this suggests the RBA is likely to hike the cash rate another 25bp in June, rather than a larger 40 or 50bp hike.''

''The wage and employment data hasn’t, in our view, met Governor Lowe’s threshold of there needing to be “a very strong argument” for the RBA to “deviate” from moves of 25bp in coming months.''

''Especially when the minutes from the May meeting highlighted that the Board meets monthly, so has the opportunity to review the setting of interest rates again within a relatively short period of time.''

Meanwhile, markets are priced for quarter-point rises in the 0.35% cash rate in both June and July, and a half-point hike in August following what is likely to be another alarming inflation report.

Looking ahead, the RBA Assistant Governor Luci Ellis is due to speak and could expand on the central bank's own outlook for policy.


Today last price 0.7089
Today Daily Change -0.0019
Today Daily Change % -0.27
Today daily open 0.7108
Daily SMA20 0.7039
Daily SMA50 0.7273
Daily SMA100 0.7235
Daily SMA200 0.7261
Previous Daily High 0.7127
Previous Daily Low 0.7044
Previous Weekly High 0.7074
Previous Weekly Low 0.6872
Previous Monthly High 0.7662
Previous Monthly Low 0.7054
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 0.7096
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 0.7076
Daily Pivot Point S1 0.7059
Daily Pivot Point S2 0.701
Daily Pivot Point S3 0.6976
Daily Pivot Point R1 0.7143
Daily Pivot Point R2 0.7177
Daily Pivot Point R3 0.7226



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