|

AUD/USD hangs near daily low, just above mid-0.7000s ahead of key US jobs data

  • AUD/USD remains under some selling pressure for the second successive day on Friday.
  • The risk-off impulse weighs on the Aussie, though fresh USD selling helps limit losses.
  • Investors now look forward to the key US monthly jobs data (NFP) for a fresh impetus.

The AUD/USD pair is seen extending the previous day's retracement slide from the 0.7155-0.7160 area, or its highest level since June 2022 and losing ground for the second successive day on Friday. The pair remains depressed heading into the North American session and is currently placed near the lower end o its daily range, around mid-0.7000s.

A generally weaker tone around the equity markets turns out to be a key factor weighing on the risk-sensitive Aussie, though the emergence of fresh US Dollar selling limits losses for the AUD/USD pair. Investors remain sceptical about a speedy Chinese economic recovery in the wake of rising COVID-19 cases and lingering supply chain issues. This, along with disappointing quarterly earnings reports from major tech sector players, disrupts the recent positive sentiment around perceived riskier assets.

The USD, on the other hand, fails to capitalize on the overnight bounce from a nine-month low amid a downtick in the US Treasury bond yields. That said, hopes for a positive surprise from the US Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) might continue to act as a tailwind for the safe-haven Greenback. An unexpected fall in the US Initial Jobless Claims on Thursday pointed to the underlying strength in the labor market and forced investors to scale back their bets for an imminent pause of the Fed's rate-hiking cycle.

Hence, the market focus will remain glued to the release of the closely-watched US monthly jobs data. Market participants seem concerned that robust employment could keep the US inflation higher and allow the Fed to stick to its hawkish stance for longer. This, in turn, could push the US bond yields higher, along with the USD, and set the way for some meaningful corrective decline for the AUD/USD pair. Nevertheless, spot prices, for now, seem to register the first weekly loss in seven.

Technical levels to watch

AUD/USD

Overview
Today last price0.7058
Today Daily Change-0.0026
Today Daily Change %-0.37
Today daily open0.7084
 
Trends
Daily SMA200.7001
Daily SMA500.6848
Daily SMA1000.6668
Daily SMA2000.6811
 
Levels
Previous Daily High0.7158
Previous Daily Low0.7069
Previous Weekly High0.7143
Previous Weekly Low0.696
Previous Monthly High0.7143
Previous Monthly Low0.6688
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%0.7103
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%0.7124
Daily Pivot Point S10.7049
Daily Pivot Point S20.7014
Daily Pivot Point S30.696
Daily Pivot Point R10.7138
Daily Pivot Point R20.7192
Daily Pivot Point R30.7227

Author

Haresh Menghani

Haresh Menghani is a detail-oriented professional with 10+ years of extensive experience in analysing the global financial markets.

More from Haresh Menghani
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD rebounds from session lows, stays below 1.1650

EUR/USD is recovers modestly from session lows but remains in the red below 1.1650 in European trading on Thursday. The pair faces headwinds from a renewed uptick in the US Dollar amid a negative shift in risk sentiment. Surging energy prices due to the Middle East war keep the bearish pressure intact on the Euro. The US Jobless Claims data are next of note. 

GBP/USD stays weak near 1.3350 amid UK stagflation risks

GBP/USD sticks to losses near 1.3350 in the European session on Thursday. The Pound Sterling loses ground amid fears that the United Kingdom economy could face stagflation risks due to higher energy prices, while the US Dollar attracts fresh havem demand ahead of the US Jobless Claims data. 

Gold climbs near $5,200 as Iran war fuels safe-haven demand

Gold price extends its gains for the second successive session on Thursday as traders seek safety amid the ongoing war in the Middle East. US and Israeli strikes across Iranian territory and widespread Iranian missile and drone retaliation across the Middle East, including attacks on regional targets and military sites, prolong the crisis and its impact.

Three reasons to be bearish on Bitcoin

Bitcoin is holding up well taking into account the uncertainty stemming from the Middle East. Despite this week’s rally, the long-term outlook remains bearish. Here are three reasons why I think the storm for the largest cryptocurrency isn't over yet.

Markets attempt to rally on positive news from Iran

There’s been an abrupt change in sentiment this morning, European stock markets are higher and oil and gas prices are moderating, after comments from Iran’s deputy minister about pre-conflict talks between Iran and the US.

Cardano Price Analysis: Approaches key trendline amid bearish sentiment

Cardano (ADA) price is approaching its descending trendline around $0.28 at the time of writing, set to shape the next directional move. The derivatives metrics paint a bearish picture, with ADA’s Open Interest continuing to fall and short bets rising among traders.