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AUD/USD finds support near 0.6550, stages modest rebound ahead of US data

  • AUD/USD failed to hold above 0.6600 on Wednesday.
  • Sour market sentiment weighs on risk-sensitive AUD on Thursday.
  • Greenback stays relatively quiet ahead of US data dump.

The AUD/USD pair rose to its highest level since early-March at 0.6618 on Wednesday before going into a consolidation phase. After dropping to a daily low of 0.6549 on Thursday, the pair staged a modest recovery and was last seen trading at 0.6575, where it was still down 0.33% on a daily basis.

RBA's Lowe dismisses negative rates

While speaking to a panel at FINSIA's "The Regulators" Webinar on Thursday, Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) Governor Phillip Lowe said the economic recovery was expected to be very slow without a COVID-10 medical breakthrough. Regarding the policy outlook, Lowe reiterated that the implementation of negative interest rates was still "extraordinarily unlikely" but failed to help the AUD find demand.

Meanwhile, the cautious market mood seems to be making it difficult for AUD/USD to extend its rebound. At the moment, the S&P 500 futures are down 0.5% to suggest that Wall Street is likely to open the day in the negative territory.

Meanwhile, the US Dollar Index is staying unchanged on the day near 99.15 ahead of key data releases from the US. In addition to the weekly Initial Jobless Claims, Existing Home Sales and Markit's Manufacturing and Services PMI data will highlight the economic calendar during the American session.

If the data causes a fresh wave of flight-to-safety, the greenback could start gathering strength as a safe-haven and force the pair to push lower.

Technical levels to watch for

AUD/USD

Overview
Today last price0.6576
Today Daily Change-0.0022
Today Daily Change %-0.33
Today daily open0.6598
 
Trends
Daily SMA200.6472
Daily SMA500.6273
Daily SMA1000.6503
Daily SMA2000.6663
 
Levels
Previous Daily High0.6617
Previous Daily Low0.6524
Previous Weekly High0.6562
Previous Weekly Low0.6401
Previous Monthly High0.657
Previous Monthly Low0.598
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%0.6581
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%0.656
Daily Pivot Point S10.6542
Daily Pivot Point S20.6487
Daily Pivot Point S30.6449
Daily Pivot Point R10.6635
Daily Pivot Point R20.6673
Daily Pivot Point R30.6728

Author

Eren Sengezer

As an economist at heart, Eren Sengezer specializes in the assessment of the short-term and long-term impacts of macroeconomic data, central bank policies and political developments on financial assets.

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