AUD/USD drops below 0.6770 as RBA keeps policy unchanged

AUD/USD has sensed selling pressure as the RBA has kept rates unchanged at 3.6%.
The street was divided between a steady RBA policy and an 11^th consecutive rate hike.
The upside in the USD Index looks capped as investors are anticipating an early pause in the Fed’s policy-tightening spell.

Sagar Dua FXStreet

The AUD/USD pair has slipped below 0.6770 as the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) has broken the policy-tightening spell after hiking rates straight 10 times. RBA Governor Philip Lowe has kept the Official Cash Rate (OCR) unchanged at 3.6%. The street was divided over the interest rate decision as Australia’s monthly Consumer Price Index (CPI) indicator has already conveyed that inflation has softened quickly in the past two months to 6.8% from the peak of 8.4% registered in December. It seems that RBA Governor Philip Lowe is highly optimistic about further softening in Australian inflation.

On Monday, the Australian Dollar remained in action after the release of the downbeat Caixin Manufacturing PMI data. The economic data has landed at 50.0, lower than the consensus of 51.7 and the former release of 51.5. The Chinese economy is struggling in reviving growth despite dismantling pandemic controls and favoring monetary and non-monetary measures. It is worth noting that Australia is the leading trading partner of China and weak manufacturing activities have a severe impact on the Australian Dollar.

Meanwhile, the US Dollar Index (DXY) is facing barricades after a recovery move to near 102.20. The upside in the USD Index looks capped as investors are anticipating an early pause in the Federal Reserve’s (Fed) policy-tightening spell. Deepening fears of a recession in the United States economy led by five straight ISM Manufacturing PMI contractions are advocating for a pause in the restrictive monetary policy regime.

This week, the US Automatic Data Processing (ADP) Employment Change (March) data will be keenly watched, which is scheduled for Wednesday. The economic data is seen lower at 205K vs. the prior release of 242K. Fewer additions of fresh labor could add to indicators favoring a pause in the rate-hiking spell.

AUD/USD

Overview
Today last price	0.6784
Today Daily Change	-0.0001
Today Daily Change %	-0.01
Today daily open	0.6785

Trends
Daily SMA20	0.6665
Daily SMA50	0.6815
Daily SMA100	0.68
Daily SMA200	0.6751

Levels
Previous Daily High	0.679
Previous Daily Low	0.6651
Previous Weekly High	0.6738
Previous Weekly Low	0.6634
Previous Monthly High	0.6784
Previous Monthly Low	0.6564
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%	0.6737
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%	0.6704
Daily Pivot Point S1	0.6694
Daily Pivot Point S2	0.6603
Daily Pivot Point S3	0.6555
Daily Pivot Point R1	0.6833
Daily Pivot Point R2	0.6881
Daily Pivot Point R3	0.6972

Author

Sagar Dua

FXStreet

Sagar Dua is associated with the financial markets from his college days. Along with pursuing post-graduation in Commerce in 2014, he started his markets training with chart analysis.

GBP/USD declines as market caution lifts US Dollar

GBP/USD extends its gains for the second successive day, trading around 1.3200 during the Asian hours on Wednesday. The currency pair depreciated as the US Dollar gained momentum, driven by a combination of robust domestic economic data and a complex, mixed geopolitical landscape.

EUR/USD weakens below 1.1400 as Fed hike bets lift US Dollar

The EUR/USD pair trades on a negative note near 1.1380 during the early Asian trading hours on Wednesday. The major pair extends the decline as traders continue to assess the developments surrounding the US-Iran peace deal.

Gold retains bearish bias near two-week low as Fed hike bets support USD

Gold recovers slightly from a fresh two-week low, near $4,080 touched during the Asian session on Wednesday, though it lacks follow-through. The US Dollar stands firm near its highest level since May 2025 amid firming expectations of a Fed rate hike, which, in turn, is seen undermining the non-yielding bullion. Furthermore, mixed US-Iran signals over Tehran's nuclear issues favor the USD bulls, suggesting that the path of least resistance for the commodity remains to the downside.

Australia CPI set to show inflation accelerated again in May

The Australian Bureau of Statistics will publish the high-impact Consumer Price Index for May on Wednesday at 01:30 GMT. Heading into the inflation test, the Australian Dollar is at its lowest level in two months against the US Dollar, having surrendered the 0.7000 psychological mark.

"Rearranging the deckchairs on the Titanic": UK's fiscal crisis outlasts another Prime Minister

Keir Starmer's resignation as the UK Prime Minister comes ten years after the Brexit referendum vote, a coincidence that financial markets have been quick to note. The British Pound trades around 1.3220 against the US Dollar on Thursday.

Regime change: Inside Kevin Warsh's first move to make the Fed unreadable on purpose

The rate did not move. That was the least interesting thing about Kevin Warsh's first meeting in charge of the Fed. The FOMC held its benchmark at 3.50%-3.75% for the fourth straight meeting, exactly as priced, and then the new chair used his first press conference to dismantle the machinery the market has leaned on for a decade.