|

AUD/USD descends to its lowest since April 2020 amid broad-based USD strength

  • AUD/USD dives to its lowest level since April 2020 amid another blowout USD rally.
  • Aggressive Fed rate hike bets, elevated US bond yields continue to boost the buck.
  • The risk-off mood also contributes to driving flows away from the risk-sensitive aussie.

The AUD/USD pair comes under renewed selling pressure on Wednesday and slides below the 0.6400 mark for the first time since April 2020. The pair maintains its offered tone through the early European session and is currently placed around the 0.6370-0.6365 region, down over 1.0% for the day.

A combination of supporting factors lifts the US dollar to a fresh two-decade high, which, in turn, is seen exerting downward pressure on the AUD/USD pair. The overnight hawkish remarks by Fed officials reaffirm the prospects for a more aggressive policy tightening by the Fed and remain supportive of a further rise in the US Treasury bond yields. This, along with the risk-off mood, continues to underpin the safe-haven buck.

In fact, Minneapolis Fed President Neel Kashkari said on Tuesday that policymakers are determined to do what is needed to bring inflation down. Adding to this, Chicago Fed President Charles Evans noted that the US central bank will need to raise interest rates to a range between 4.50% and 4.75%. The yield on the benchmark 10-year US government bond shot to 4% for the first time since April 2010 following the comments.

Investors, meanwhile, remain worried that Fed policy will push the economy into recession. Apart from this, the risk of a further escalation in the Russia-Ukraine conflict continues to take its toll on the global risk sentiment. This is evident from a generally weaker tone around the equity markets, which is driving flows towards the greenback and contributing to the selling bias surrounding the risk-sensitive aussie.

With the latest leg down, the AUD/USD pair confirms this week's bearish breakdown through the lower end of a multi-month-old descending channel. A subsequent fall and acceptance below the 0.6400 mark might have already set the stage for an extension of the downward trajectory. Hence, some follow-through weakness towards testing the next relevant support, around the 0.6300 mark, remains a distinct possibility.

Technical levels to watch

AUD/USD

Overview
Today last price0.6364
Today Daily Change-0.0071
Today Daily Change %-1.10
Today daily open0.6435
 
Trends
Daily SMA200.6712
Daily SMA500.686
Daily SMA1000.6917
Daily SMA2000.7087
 
Levels
Previous Daily High0.6513
Previous Daily Low0.6414
Previous Weekly High0.6748
Previous Weekly Low0.6512
Previous Monthly High0.7137
Previous Monthly Low0.6835
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%0.6452
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%0.6475
Daily Pivot Point S10.6395
Daily Pivot Point S20.6355
Daily Pivot Point S30.6295
Daily Pivot Point R10.6494
Daily Pivot Point R20.6553
Daily Pivot Point R30.6593

Author

Haresh Menghani

Haresh Menghani is a detail-oriented professional with 10+ years of extensive experience in analysing the global financial markets.

More from Haresh Menghani
Share:

Editor's Picks

GBP/USD nudges higher above 1.3350 despite Middle East turmoil

The GBP/USD pair rebounds to near 1.3385 during the Asian trading hours on Thursday. However, the potential upside for the major pair might be limited amid cooler-than-expected UK inflation data and escalating tensions in the Middle East. Traders will take more cues from the UK Retail Sales report, which is due later on Friday. 


EUR/USD advances ahead of ECB policy decision

EUR/USD extends its gains for the second consecutive day, trading around 1.1410 during the Asian hours on Thursday. The pair gains ground as the Euro finds solid support ahead of the European Central Bank's upcoming interest rate decision.

Gold extends range play above $4,100 as inflation fears lift Fed hike bets and cap gains

Gold consolidates above the $4,100 round figure through the Asian session, and seems to have stalled its modest pullback from an over two-week high touched the previous day. Crude oil prices climb to a fresh high since June 11 amid a further escalation of tensions between the US and Iran, fueling inflation fears and bolstering US Fed interest rate hike expectations.

Hyperliquid, Robinhood could lead crypto’s next bull market as DeFi and TradFi converge

The next crypto bull market could be driven by the growing convergence between blockchain-based financial infrastructure and traditional finance, according to Bitwise CIO Matt Hougan. In a report published late Tuesday, Hougan argued that crypto may be showing early signs of a market bottom, with Bitcoin gaining 9% since July 1 even as the NASDAQ 100 declined 6%.

Ripple and Stellar await direction amid cautious sentiment

Ripple and Stellar trade cautiously as both tokens hover around key technical levels. XRP is testing resistance at its 50-day EMA, while XLM continues to consolidate around the $0.187 support zone. Meanwhile, mixed derivatives data with a slight bearish tilt suggests traders remain cautious, keeping the next directional move uncertain.

US Dollar mid-year outlook: Exceptional currency, exceptional risks?
The US Dollar enters the second half of 2026 in a markedly different position from a year ago. The King currency has recovered, reflecting persistent US inflation, changing expectations for Fed policy, geopolitical tensions and renewed demand for defensive assets.