|

AUD/USD descends to its lowest since April 2020 amid broad-based USD strength

  • AUD/USD dives to its lowest level since April 2020 amid another blowout USD rally.
  • Aggressive Fed rate hike bets, elevated US bond yields continue to boost the buck.
  • The risk-off mood also contributes to driving flows away from the risk-sensitive aussie.

The AUD/USD pair comes under renewed selling pressure on Wednesday and slides below the 0.6400 mark for the first time since April 2020. The pair maintains its offered tone through the early European session and is currently placed around the 0.6370-0.6365 region, down over 1.0% for the day.

A combination of supporting factors lifts the US dollar to a fresh two-decade high, which, in turn, is seen exerting downward pressure on the AUD/USD pair. The overnight hawkish remarks by Fed officials reaffirm the prospects for a more aggressive policy tightening by the Fed and remain supportive of a further rise in the US Treasury bond yields. This, along with the risk-off mood, continues to underpin the safe-haven buck.

In fact, Minneapolis Fed President Neel Kashkari said on Tuesday that policymakers are determined to do what is needed to bring inflation down. Adding to this, Chicago Fed President Charles Evans noted that the US central bank will need to raise interest rates to a range between 4.50% and 4.75%. The yield on the benchmark 10-year US government bond shot to 4% for the first time since April 2010 following the comments.

Investors, meanwhile, remain worried that Fed policy will push the economy into recession. Apart from this, the risk of a further escalation in the Russia-Ukraine conflict continues to take its toll on the global risk sentiment. This is evident from a generally weaker tone around the equity markets, which is driving flows towards the greenback and contributing to the selling bias surrounding the risk-sensitive aussie.

With the latest leg down, the AUD/USD pair confirms this week's bearish breakdown through the lower end of a multi-month-old descending channel. A subsequent fall and acceptance below the 0.6400 mark might have already set the stage for an extension of the downward trajectory. Hence, some follow-through weakness towards testing the next relevant support, around the 0.6300 mark, remains a distinct possibility.

Technical levels to watch

AUD/USD

Overview
Today last price0.6364
Today Daily Change-0.0071
Today Daily Change %-1.10
Today daily open0.6435
 
Trends
Daily SMA200.6712
Daily SMA500.686
Daily SMA1000.6917
Daily SMA2000.7087
 
Levels
Previous Daily High0.6513
Previous Daily Low0.6414
Previous Weekly High0.6748
Previous Weekly Low0.6512
Previous Monthly High0.7137
Previous Monthly Low0.6835
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%0.6452
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%0.6475
Daily Pivot Point S10.6395
Daily Pivot Point S20.6355
Daily Pivot Point S30.6295
Daily Pivot Point R10.6494
Daily Pivot Point R20.6553
Daily Pivot Point R30.6593

Author

Haresh Menghani

Haresh Menghani is a detail-oriented professional with 10+ years of extensive experience in analysing the global financial markets.

More from Haresh Menghani
Share:

Editor's Picks

AUD/USD consolidates above 0.7200 after hot Chinese CPI data

AUD/USD is extending its consolidative price action above 0.7200 during the Asian session on Wednesday, uninspired by hot Chinese CPI and PPI data. Meanwhile, rising RBA rate-hike bets act as a tailwind for the Aussie amid Yen-inspired US Dollar weakness. Traders await the release of US inflation figures later in the week for fresh impetus.

USD/JPY stays in red near 153.50 amid aggressive BoJ hike bets

USD/JPY keeps the bearish tone intact at around 153.50 during European trading hours on Wednesday. A strong Reuters Tankan business survey adds to the case for continued BoJ policy normalisation and supports the Japanese Yen. This, along with a broadly weaker US Dollar, keeps the pair close to a nearly seven-month low set on Tuesday.

Gold recovers further from one-week low, retakes $4.400 amid sustained USD selling

Gold builds on its intraday recovery from a one-week low and reclaims the $4,400 mark heading into the European session on Wednesday. The commodity, for now, seems to have snapped a three-day losing streak amid a weaker US Dollar, which remains depressed near its lowest level in over two weeks amid the Bank of Japan-inspired rally in the Japanese Yen.

Pi Network's rebound holds as momentum improves

Pi Network (PI) extends its recovery on Wednesday, trading above $0.098 after finding support around the 50-day Exponential Moving Average earlier this week. The rebound comes as the Pi Core Team highlights the importance of strengthening its developer ecosystem to expand application-level utility across the network.

Oil, Apple and JPY in focus
Oil prices are rising on Wednesday as tit-for-tat strikes between Iran and the US threaten oil supplies as the two sides battle for control of the Strait of Hormuz. Stock futures have switched their attention from a strong earnings season to the challenges ahead, including a 10-year Treasury yield that is hovering close to the 4.8% level.
Diesel’s record $100 warning: The oil shock hiding in plain sight

The Oil market may look calmer than it did a few months ago, but diesel is sending a very different message. The US diesel crack spread, the premium of ultra-low sulphur diesel futures over WTI, recently surged above $100 per barrel for the first time, reaching an intraday record of just over $102.00.