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AUD/USD continues to push higher toward 0.7600

  • AUD/USD is edging higher for the third straight day.
  • US Dollar Index remains on the back foot ahead of PMI data.
  • Private sector business activity continues to expand at a robust pace in Australia.

After fluctuating in a narrow band around 0.7550 during the Asian session, the AUD/USD pair gained traction and reached a daily high of 0.7585. As of writing, the pair was up 0.3% on the day at 0.7575.

The data from Australia showed on Wednesday that the Commonwealth Bank Composite PMI edged lower to 56.1 in June's preliminary reading from 58 in May. Nevertheless, this reading showed that the private sector's business activity continued to expand, albeit at a softer pace than it did in May.

On the other hand, the US Dollar Index (DXY), which retraced a portion of last week's rally on Monday and Tuesday, struggles to reverse its direction ahead of the IHS Markit's Manufacturing and Services PMI reports. At the moment, the DXY is posting small daily losses at 91.64, allowing AUD/USD to remain afloat in the positive territory.

Meanwhile, Wall Street's main indexes look to open modestly higher on Wednesday, suggesting that the greenback is unlikely to attract investors with the market mood staying upbeat in the second half of the day.

AUD/USD near-term outlook

Assessing AUD/USD's technical outlook, "AUD/USD may see a short-term correction back towards the ‘neckline’ to the major top at 0.7588/7617, however, the recent weekly close below the key band of support including the 200-day average at 0.7556 reversed us into a medium-term bearish view," said Credit Suisse analysts.

“We look for a turn back lower in due course, with the next initial support seen at 0.7477/61, below which would complete a fresh intraday bearish continuation pattern to open up the 23.6% retracement of the entire upmove from 2020 at 0.7418 next," analysts added. 

AUD/USD to turn back lower with next key support at 0.7418 – Credit Suisse.

Additional levels to watch for

AUD/USD

Overview
Today last price0.7576
Today Daily Change0.0022
Today Daily Change %0.29
Today daily open0.7554
 
Trends
Daily SMA200.7683
Daily SMA500.7728
Daily SMA1000.7722
Daily SMA2000.7557
 
Levels
Previous Daily High0.7565
Previous Daily Low0.7494
Previous Weekly High0.7727
Previous Weekly Low0.7477
Previous Monthly High0.7892
Previous Monthly Low0.7674
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%0.7538
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%0.7521
Daily Pivot Point S10.751
Daily Pivot Point S20.7466
Daily Pivot Point S30.7439
Daily Pivot Point R10.7582
Daily Pivot Point R20.7609
Daily Pivot Point R30.7653

Author

Eren Sengezer

As an economist at heart, Eren Sengezer specializes in the assessment of the short-term and long-term impacts of macroeconomic data, central bank policies and political developments on financial assets.

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