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AUD/USD continues scaling higher, hits fresh multi-week tops near mid-0.6500s

  • AUD/USD scaled higher for the sixth consecutive session amid some renewed USD weakness.
  • The momentum added credence to the recent bullish break through a descending trend-line.
  • Bulls are likely to aim towards 100-DMA ahead of the US GDP and the latest FOMC decision.

The greenback remained depressed through the Asian session on Wednesday and lifted the AUD/USD pair to 1-1/2-month tops, around mid-0.6500s in the last hour.

The pair gained some follow-through traction for the sixth consecutive session on Wednesday and built on the overnight bullish break through a resistance marked 61.8% Fibonacci level of the 0.7040-0.5509 downfall.

The pair added to its gains beyond the key 0.6500 psychological mark and the positive momentum was sponsored by some renewed selling around the US dollar, led by a further improvement in the global risk sentiment.

The upbeat market mood remained well supported by the slowing spread of the coronavirus, a move to re-open economies in some parts of the world and a goodish recovery in oil prices, which dented the USD's safe-haven status.

The risk-on flow benefitted the antipodean currencies, including the aussie, which got an additional boost from Wednesday's hotter-than-expected domestic consumer inflation figures for the first quarter of 2020.

In fact, the headline CPI rose 0.3% during the three months to March as compared to 0.2% anticipated, while the yearly rate also bettered expectations and came in at 2.2% YoY as against 1.8% rise recorded in the previous quarter.

Meanwhile, the ongoing positive move over the past three trading session added credence to a near-term bullish break through a near four-month-old descending trend-line. This, in turn, supports prospects for additional gains.

Hence, a subsequent move towards challenging 100-day SMA, around the 0.6565-70 region, now looks a distinct possibility, through the further upside is likely to remain limited ahead of Wednesday's key data/event risks from the US.

The US economic docket highlights the release of advance Q1 GDP report. This followed by the latest FOMC monetary policy decision will influence the near-term USD price dynamics and provide a fresh directional impetus.

Technical levels to watch

AUD/USD

Overview
Today last price0.6536
Today Daily Change0.0045
Today Daily Change %0.69
Today daily open0.6491
 
Trends
Daily SMA200.629
Daily SMA500.6306
Daily SMA1000.6574
Daily SMA2000.6691
 
Levels
Previous Daily High0.6515
Previous Daily Low0.6434
Previous Weekly High0.6406
Previous Weekly Low0.6253
Previous Monthly High0.6686
Previous Monthly Low0.5509
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%0.6484
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%0.6465
Daily Pivot Point S10.6444
Daily Pivot Point S20.6398
Daily Pivot Point S30.6363
Daily Pivot Point R10.6526
Daily Pivot Point R20.6561
Daily Pivot Point R30.6607

Author

Haresh Menghani

Haresh Menghani is a detail-oriented professional with 10+ years of extensive experience in analysing the global financial markets.

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