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AUD/USD consolidates its losses around 0.6360 ahead of RBA rate decision

  • AUD/USD remains flat around 0.6362 as traders turn cautious ahead of Australia’s key event.
  • US ISM Manufacturing PMI came in at 49.0 in September vs. 47.6 prior, better than expected.
  • Market players expect another interest rate pause at 4.1% from the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) on Tuesday.

The AUD/USD pair consolidates its recent losses above the mid-0.6300s during the early Asian session on Tuesday. Traders prefer to wait on the sidelines ahead of the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) monetary policy meeting on Tuesday. RBA is likely to maintain a status quo on interest rates at its upcoming meeting. The pair currently trades near 0.6362, losing 0.02% for the day.

Data released on Monday revealed that the US ISM Manufacturing PMI came in at 49.0 in September from 47.6 in the previous reading, above the market consensus of 47.7. This figure showed that business activity in the US manufacturing sector continued to contract.

Further details of the report showed that the Prices Paid Index fell significantly from 48.4 to 43.8. The Employment Index rose from 48.4 to 51.2. Finally, the New Orders Index climbed from 46.8 to 49.2.

Federal Reserve (Fed) Governor Michelle Bowman said on Monday that it will likely be appropriate to raise the policy rate further and hold it at restrictive levels for some time. While Fed Vice Chair for Supervision Michael Barr stated that the central bank should approach monetary policy with caution. He said the most important question is not how much interest rates will rise, but how long they will remain at a sufficiently restrictive level. However, Barr believes that the Fed can control inflation without causing a significant deterioration in the jobs market.

On the Aussue front, market players expect another interest rate pause at 4.1% from the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) on Tuesday. This will be the first meeting with Michele Bullock as governor. Market players will take cues from the RBA statement. Any hints about a further rate hike might cap the downside of the Aussie against the US Dollar.

Looking ahead, traders will closely watch the RBA interest rate decision on Tuesday. Also, the US JOLTS Job Openings report will be due in the American session. The focus will shift to the US employment data, with the release of the ADP report on Wednesday and the Nonfarm Payrolls on Friday.

AUD/USD

Overview
Today last price0.6363
Today Daily Change-0.0070
Today Daily Change %-1.09
Today daily open0.6433
 
Trends
Daily SMA200.6418
Daily SMA500.6486
Daily SMA1000.6588
Daily SMA2000.6689
 
Levels
Previous Daily High0.6501
Previous Daily Low0.6418
Previous Weekly High0.6501
Previous Weekly Low0.6332
Previous Monthly High0.6522
Previous Monthly Low0.6332
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%0.6469
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%0.6449
Daily Pivot Point S10.64
Daily Pivot Point S20.6367
Daily Pivot Point S30.6317
Daily Pivot Point R10.6484
Daily Pivot Point R20.6534
Daily Pivot Point R30.6567

Author

Lallalit Srijandorn

Lallalit Srijandorn is a Parisian at heart. She has lived in France since 2019 and now becomes a digital entrepreneur based in Paris and Bangkok.

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