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AUD/USD charts minor bounce, but on track for weekly loss

  • AUD/USD recovered roughly by 10 pips from decade lows seen on Thursday. 
  • The currency pair is still on track to report one of its biggest weekly loss since September. 
  • Dovish RBA expectations are likely to keep the AUD on the defensive.

AUD/USD has bounced up slightly from decade lows but remains on track to end the week on a negative note. 

The currency pair is trading at 0.6619 at press time, having hit a low of 0.6624 an hour ago. The pair fell to 0.6610 on Thursday to print the lowest level since 2009. 

The minor bounce is nothing to write home about, as the pair is still down nearly 1.4% on a weekly basis. If the pair holds near current levels through Friday's GMT close, the resulting weekly loss would be the second-biggest since September. 

That looks likely, as the futures on the S&P 500 are reporting a 0.17% drop at press time. The risk-off tone will likely keep the AUD bulls at the bay and keep the haven assets like the US Treasuries better bid. 

Further, the odds of the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) cutting rates by 25 basis points to 0.5% in April have improved, courtesy of the dismal jobs data released Thursday. While the economy created 13,500 more net jobs in January, the unemployment rate jumped from 5.1% to 5.3%, forcing reinforcing expectations for a rate cut in April. 

As a result, corrective bounces in the AUD are likely to be met with offers, unless numbers out of China indicate the coronavirus is peaking, in which case, China-sensitive currencies like the Aussie dollar are likely to find strong hands. 

Technical levels

AUD/USD

Overview
Today last price0.6617
Today Daily Change0.0000
Today Daily Change %0.00
Today daily open0.6617
 
Trends
Daily SMA200.6718
Daily SMA500.6832
Daily SMA1000.6827
Daily SMA2000.6851
 
Levels
Previous Daily High0.6698
Previous Daily Low0.661
Previous Weekly High0.6751
Previous Weekly Low0.6661
Previous Monthly High0.704
Previous Monthly Low0.6682
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%0.6643
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%0.6664
Daily Pivot Point S10.6585
Daily Pivot Point S20.6553
Daily Pivot Point S30.6496
Daily Pivot Point R10.6674
Daily Pivot Point R20.673
Daily Pivot Point R30.6762

Author

Omkar Godbole

Omkar Godbole

FXStreet Contributor

Omkar Godbole, editor and analyst, joined FXStreet after four years as a research analyst at several Indian brokerage companies.

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