|

AUD/USD: Bulls eye 0.7750 as Trump tariffs exempt Australia

  • Bulls unperturbed by risk-off, as USD selling and Trump tariff exemption support.
  • Better US durable goods data could offer some respite to the US dollar.

The rebound in AUD/USD got a fresh boost after the headlines hit the wires that Trump issued tariff exemptions for EU, Australia, Korea and Brazil among other countries. The rates went on to print fresh daily tops of 0.7723, having found solid near 0.7690 region earlier today.

The Aussie’s recovery from downbeat Australian employment data induced sell-off was mainly driven by broad-based US dollar sell-off, which outweighed the persisting risk-off trades, fuelled by mounting US-China trade war fears. China retaliated to counter up to $ 60 billion of the US tariffs on the Chinese imports, escalating the trade war angst.

Meanwhile, tumbling US Treasury yields combined with the Asian equities meltdown boost the demand for the AUD as an alternative higher-yielding currency. However, it remains to be seen if the commodity-currency can sustain the bounce, as the ongoing weakness in copper prices could keep a lid on the prices.

Later today, the pair will continue to track the USD price-action and broader market sentiment ahead of the Fedspeak and US durable goods orders data, which could offer some relief to the USD bulls.  

AUD/USD levels to watch

Jim Langlands at FX Charts, notes: “If correct, support today will arrive at 0.7685 and then at 0.7670. Below that would allow a move towards 0.7645, below which would allow a move to the 100 WMA (0.7625) and to major rising trend support 0.7570, although that may take a while. On the topside, resistance will be seen today at 0.7710 and at 0.7725. Above there could stretch back to 0.7750 and to 0.7785 although this seems doubtful. Selling rallies is preferred.”

Author

Dhwani Mehta

Dhwani Mehta

FXStreet

Residing in Mumbai (India), Dhwani is a Senior Analyst and Manager of the Asian session at FXStreet. She has over 10 years of experience in analyzing and covering the global financial markets, with specialization in Forex and commodities markets.

More from Dhwani Mehta
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD holds losses below 1.1850 ahead of FOMC Minutes

EUR/USD stays on the back foot below 1.1850 in the European session on Wednesday, pressured by renewed US Dollar demand and reports that ECB President Lagarde will step down before the end of her term. Traders now look forward to the Minutes of the Fed's January monetary policy meeting for fresh signals on future rate cuts. 

GBP/USD defends 1.3550 after UK inflation data

GBP/USD is holding above 1.3550 in Wednesday's European morning, little changed following the UK Consumer Price Index (CPI) data release. The UK inflation eased as expected in January, reaffirming bets for a March BoE interest rate cut, especially after Tuesday's weak employment report. 

Gold retains bullish bias amid Fed rate cut bets, ahead of Fed Minutes

Gold sticks to modest intraday gains through the early European session, reversing a major part of the previous day's heavy losses of more than 2%, to the $4,843-4,842 region or a nearly two-week low. That said, the fundamental backdrop warrants caution for bulls ahead of the FOMC Minutes, which will look for more cues about the US Federal Reserve's rate-cut path. 

Pi Network rally defies market pressure ahead of its first anniversary

Pi Network is trading above $0.1900 at press time on Wednesday, extending the weekly gains by nearly 8% so far. The steady recovery is supported by a short-term pause in mainnet migration, which reduces pressure on the PI token supply for Centralized Exchanges. The technical outlook focuses on the $0.1919 resistance as bullish momentum increases.

Mixed UK inflation data no gamechanger for the Bank of England

Food inflation plunged in January, but service sector price pressure is proving stickier. We continue to expect Bank of England rate cuts in March and June. The latest UK inflation read is a mixed bag for the Bank of England, but we doubt it drastically changes the odds of a March rate cut.

Top 3 Price Prediction: Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Ripple face downside risk as bears regain control

Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Ripple remain under pressure on Wednesday, with the broader trend still sideways. BTC is edging below $68,000, nearing the lower consolidating boundary, while ETH and XRP also declined slightly, approaching their key supports.