|

AUD/USD bounces off lows, still weaker around 0.7600 handle

The AUD/USD pair's reversal from Friday's 8-day high extended on Monday and the pair touched a session low of 0.7580 before retracing few pips to currently trading around 0.7590-95 region.

The pair, on Monday, snapped three-days of winning streak and has now reversed part of Friday's strong gains led by upbeat Chinese inflation data. The greenback continues to gain traction as market participants now seemed convinced that the Fed would go ahead and raise interest rate, with the CME group's FedWatch Tool indicating 64% probability of such an action in December. 

Moreover, a cautious investor sentiment around equity market is also denting demand for higher-yielding currencies - like Aussie, and exerting selling pressure around the major. 

Later during NA trading session, US manufacturing data would provide immediate impetus for short-term traders ahead of RBA Governor Philip Lowe's speech and RBA's latest monetary policy meeting minutes during early Asian session on Tuesday.

Technical levels to watch

Immediate downside support is pegged at 0.7580 (session low) below which the pair seems to accelerate the slide immediately towards 100-day SMA support near 0.7540 region. On the upside, recovery back above 0.7600 handle might now confront resistance near 0.7615 level, which if cleared should now assist the pair to surpass 0.7645-50 horizontal resistance and aim towards 0.7685-90 resistance area.

Author

Haresh Menghani

Haresh Menghani is a detail-oriented professional with 10+ years of extensive experience in analysing the global financial markets.

More from Haresh Menghani
Share:

Editor's Picks

GBP/USD defends 1.3300 after strong UK PMI data

Following Thursday's sharp decline, GBP/USD clings to small gains above 1.3300 in the European session Friday, supported by the upbeat UK Retail Sales and July PMI data. Nevertheless, the pair's upside remains capped as investors cling to a cautious stance amid a further escalation of tensions in the Middle East. The US economic calendar will feature preliminary July PMI data later in the day.

EUR/USD retreats below 1.1400 ahead of US PMI

EUR/USD loses its traction and trades below 1.1400 on Friday, following a recovery attempt on upbeat Eurozone and German PMI data earlier in the day. The risk-averse market atmosphere helps the US Dollar (USD) hold its ground as market focus shifts to preliminary July PMI data from the US.

Gold recovers above $4,050 but struggles to gather momentum

Gold builds on its modest intraday bounce and climbs back above the $4,050 level, hitting a fresh daily high amid a modest US Dollar pullback. The fundamental backdrop, however, warrants some caution before confirming that the pullback from an over two-week high, touched on Wednesday, has run its course and positioning for any meaningful upside.

Ethereum: Derivatives interest in ETH improves, but signs of caution remain

Ethereum is hovering slightly below the $1,900 level, down 3% on Thursday following a slight expansion in derivatives interest. The top altcoin's open interest has increased to 14.60 million ETH, marking a 600K ETH increase over the past two days and its highest level since June 7.

Crypto Market Overview: Bitcoin tests 50-day EMA support – Pi Network and Sky lead losses

The broader cryptocurrency market faces headwinds with rising tensions between the US and Iran, pushing Bitcoin down to its 50-day Exponential Moving Average support around $65,135 on Friday. Under pressure, Pi Network and Sky emerge as the worst-performing crypto assets over the last 24 hours.

US Dollar mid-year outlook: Exceptional currency, exceptional risks?
The US Dollar enters the second half of 2026 in a markedly different position from a year ago. The King currency has recovered, reflecting persistent US inflation, changing expectations for Fed policy, geopolitical tensions and renewed demand for defensive assets.