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AUD/USD: Bears keep 0.7300 on radar following no news from RBA Minutes, PBOC

  • AUD/USD stays depressed as scheduled event fail to offer any surprises, covid disappointments prevail.
  • RBA Minutes turn down rate hike, PBOC remains intact on policy moves.
  • Market sentiment dwindles amid mixed signals concerning Delta covid variant, US stimulus.

AUD/USD remains pressured, despite the recent uptick to 0.7340, during Tuesday’s Asian session. In doing so, the Aussie pair portrays the higher dominance of the coronavirus (COVID-19) news than the RBA Minutes and PBOC rate decision over the quote.

As per the latest minutes of the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA), the policymakers reiterate their rejection of the rate hike before 2024 while saying “Will not increase cash rate until actual inflation is sustainably within 2-3% target range.”

Read: RBA Minutes: The bank's central scenario for the economy is that condition for rate hikes will not be met before 2024

On the other hand, the People’s Bank of China (PBOC) kept Loan Prime Rates (LPR) for one year and five years intact around 3.85% and 4.65%, as expected.

Read: China keeps its 1-year loan prime rate unchanged at 3.85%, as expected

Following the events, AUD/USD bounced off 0.7332 but couldn’t overcome the bearish bias amid the covid woes.

The updates over the US President Joe Biden’s infrastructure bill initially probed AUD/USD bears. Also positive for the pair was the news of one million Pfizer jabs every week for Australia and comments of Aussie Epidemiologist Catherine Bennett who signaled, per the ABC News, that Victorian health authorities have the state's COVID-19 outbreak under control. That said, US Senate Majority Leader Chuck Schumer said, “Procedural vote on infrastructure bill will take place on Wednesday,” giving the much-needed relief to the markets even as he also said, “Wednesday not a deadline for every detail of the bill.”

It should, however, be noted a fresh seven-day lockdown in South Australia, as well as an extended activity restriction period of a week for Victoria, recalled AUD/USD bears.

Amid these plays, the US 10-year Treasury yields add 2.8 basis points (bps) to 1.209% by the press time whereas S&P 500 Futures print 0.44% intraday gains. Further, Australia’s ASX 200 also rises 0.40% on a day by the press time.

Having witnessed the initial reaction, actually no major reaction, to the RBA Minutes and PBOC Interest Rate Decision, AUD/USD traders will keep their eyes on the covid updates and other risk-related headlines for fresh direction. On the calendar, US housing figures for June may entertain the pair traders.

Technical analysis

AUD/USD needs to stay below 0.7340, comprising tops marked during September and November 2020, to direct the bear to the October highs near 0.7245. Otherwise, the 0.7400 threshold and July 09 lows near 0.7410 may lure the countertrend traders.

Additional important levels

Overview
Today last price0.7333
Today Daily Change-0.0012
Today Daily Change %-0.16%
Today daily open0.7345
 
Trends
Daily SMA200.7494
Daily SMA500.7627
Daily SMA1000.7669
Daily SMA2000.7588
 
Levels
Previous Daily High0.7417
Previous Daily Low0.7321
Previous Weekly High0.7504
Previous Weekly Low0.7391
Previous Monthly High0.7794
Previous Monthly Low0.7477
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%0.7358
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%0.738
Daily Pivot Point S10.7305
Daily Pivot Point S20.7265
Daily Pivot Point S30.7209
Daily Pivot Point R10.7401
Daily Pivot Point R20.7457
Daily Pivot Point R30.7497

Author

Anil Panchal

Anil Panchal

FXStreet

Anil Panchal has nearly 15 years of experience in tracking financial markets. With a keen interest in macroeconomics, Anil aptly tracks global news/updates and stays well-informed about the global financial moves and their implications.

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