|

AUD/USD attempting to correct from US session lows

  • AUD/USD has started to correct but is slowing in Asia.
  • AUD/USD bulls stepped in at US session lows, a steeper correction is eyed toward a 50% mean reversion. 

AUD/USD is flat at around 0.6700 in Tokyo, correcting from the US session lows.  In the US data, prices are rising, but more slowly than expected. The PPI data for April increased 0.2% MoM with annual growth now at 2.3% YoY. Petrol prices in the US lifted more slowly than expected, while food prices actually fell. Core prices are now up 3.4% YoY. ´´The data indicates ongoing price pressures in core services,´´ analysts at ANZ Bank explained. 

Elsewhere, the number of Americans filing new claims for unemployment benefits leaped to a 1-1/2-year high last week, and producer prices rebounded modestly in April. US Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims Rose +22,000 to 264,000, showing a weaker labor market than expectations of 245,000.

Domestically, the analysts at ANZ Bank explained that the Western Australian budget estimates a AUD4.2bn surplus in 2022-23, the same as the federal budget.

´´This is AUD 1.8bn larger than was expected in the Mid-Year Financial Projections Statement, published in December 2022. The state treasury forecasts a smaller net operating surplus of AUD3.3bn in 2023-24, AUD1bn lower than in the mid-year update,´´ the analysts explained, adding, ´´the smaller surplus reflects the increase in expenses to provide cost-of-living support and additional investment in front-line service delivery in the health, education and disability services sectors.´´

AUD/USD technical analysis

A drive into the hourly resistance could equate to a downside continuation towards 0.6670 initially. 

Author

Ross J Burland

Ross J Burland, born in England, UK, is a sportsman at heart. He played Rugby and Judo for his county, Kent and the South East of England Rugby team.

More from Ross J Burland
Share:

Editor's Picks

GBP/USD keeps the bid bias near 1.3550

GBP/USD leaves behind part of the recent three-day retracement and hovers around the 1.3550 region on Monday. The Greenback’s fresh downward trend helps Cable and the rest of the risk complex recoup part of the recent ground lost while attention remains on the potential Fed rate path.

EUR/USD retakes 1.1600; looks at the 200-day SMA

EUR/USD manages to gather fresh steam and advances past the 1.1600 hurdle as Monday’s NA session draws to a close. Indeed, the pair patially reverses Friday’s sharp retracement amid the renewed downside momentum in the US Dollar. Moving forward, the flash Inflation Rate in the euro zone and US JOLTs and the ISM Manufacturing should keep investors entertained on turnaround Tuesday.

Gold: Is the bullish run over?

Gold adds to Friday’s marked decline, although it has managed to bounce off earlier lows in the sub-$4,400 region per troy ounce on Monday. The yellow metal’s pullback comes despite the softer stance in the US Dollar and steady uncertainty in the Middle East, although rising yields keep bulls at bay for now.

Bitcoin and Gold Outlook: BTC clings to support, XAU slides as US-Iran tensions re-escalate
Bitcoin (BTC) maintains stability above $78,000 support on Monday as crypto prices broadly consolidate. Gold (XAU/USD), meanwhile, holds above $4,400, marking two consecutive days of declines. Sentiment in the broader cryptocurrency market remains broadly positive, with the Fear & Greed Index holding at 62 on Monday, down slightly from 69 the previous day.
Oil rallies on fresh persian gulf strikes
Energy prices are trading firmer this morning after the US carried out targeted strikes against Iran, drawing retaliatory strikes and reinforcing concerns about a prolonged stalemate in the Persian Gulf. Oil prices started the week stronger following the first military strikes between the US and Iran in a month. ICE Brent briefly moved back above US$90/bbl in early morning Asia trading.
Diesel’s record $100 warning: The oil shock hiding in plain sight

The Oil market may look calmer than it did a few months ago, but diesel is sending a very different message. The US diesel crack spread, the premium of ultra-low sulphur diesel futures over WTI, recently surged above $100 per barrel for the first time, reaching an intraday record of just over $102.00.