- AUD/USD extends bounce off 0.7291 to refresh intraday high.
- US dollar remains on the back foot as jobs report raises doubts over Fed tapering.
- NSW ‘freedom day’, easing in infections keep buyers hopeful.
- US holiday, light calendar restricts immediate moves ahead of key Wednesday.
AUD/USD takes the bids to refresh intraday high to 0.7325, up 0.15% on a day during early Monday.
The Aussie pair began the week on a back foot due to the weekend headlines challenging market sentiment. However, softer US dollar joined hopes of overcoming the virus sooner at home recently favored the bulls.
Having witnessed over 70% vaccination rate, New South Wales (NSW) reopened after over 100 days of the virus-led restrictions. On this occasion, NSW Premier Dominic Perrottet said, per the Sky News, “It's been a difficult 100 days but the efforts that people have made right across the state, to go out, to get vaccinated, has enabled this great day.”
On the same line, Australian Treasurer Josh Frydenberg tweeted, “The NSW economy is ready for lift-off! NSW success will be Australia’s success, & will reignite the national economy. While our economy has been hit by Delta, we know from previous experiences during the pandemic our economy does bounce back & strongly.”
It’s worth noting that Aussie covid infections have been lower in the last three days, around 2,140 at the latest, which in turn keeps buyers hopeful.
Furthermore, the US Dollar Index (DXY) extends Friday’s NFP-led losses, favoring the AUD/USD buyers, despite fears of the fresh Sino-American tussles over phase one deal commitments and the Aussie-China tensions concerning Taiwan and trade issues.
Amid these plays, S&P 500 Futures prints 0.25% intraday downside, tracking Friday’s Wall Street performance, while the US 10-year Treasury yields remain inactive amid an off in bond trading in the US due to Columbus Day.
Given the US holiday and a light calendar at home, AUD/USD may rely on the risk catalysts for fresh impulse ahead of Wednesday’s Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) Minutes for the latest monetary policy meeting.
Read: The Week Ahead: Fed Minutes, US CPI, ASOS, Entain and US bank Q3 earnings
Technical analysis
Unless providing a daily closing below 50-DMA, around 0.7305 by the press time, AUD/USD remains directed towards a downward sloping resistance line from June, near 0.7350.
Information on these pages contains forward-looking statements that involve risks and uncertainties. Markets and instruments profiled on this page are for informational purposes only and should not in any way come across as a recommendation to buy or sell in these assets. You should do your own thorough research before making any investment decisions. FXStreet does not in any way guarantee that this information is free from mistakes, errors, or material misstatements. It also does not guarantee that this information is of a timely nature. Investing in Open Markets involves a great deal of risk, including the loss of all or a portion of your investment, as well as emotional distress. All risks, losses and costs associated with investing, including total loss of principal, are your responsibility. The views and opinions expressed in this article are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the official policy or position of FXStreet nor its advertisers. The author will not be held responsible for information that is found at the end of links posted on this page.
If not otherwise explicitly mentioned in the body of the article, at the time of writing, the author has no position in any stock mentioned in this article and no business relationship with any company mentioned. The author has not received compensation for writing this article, other than from FXStreet.
FXStreet and the author do not provide personalized recommendations. The author makes no representations as to the accuracy, completeness, or suitability of this information. FXStreet and the author will not be liable for any errors, omissions or any losses, injuries or damages arising from this information and its display or use. Errors and omissions excepted.
The author and FXStreet are not registered investment advisors and nothing in this article is intended to be investment advice.
Recommended content
Editors’ Picks
EUR/USD rebounds from multi-week lows, trades above 1.0750
EUR/USD came under heavy bearish pressure and declined to its weakest level in three weeks below 1.0750 on Friday after the stronger-than-expected Nonfarm Payrolls data. Week-end flows, however, helped the pair erase its daily losses.
GBP/USD remains on track to snap three-week winning streak
GBP/USD recovered toward 1.2550 after coming in within a touching distance of 1.2500 in the second half of the day after Nonfarm Payrolls came in at 199,000 for November. Despite the recent rebound, the pair remains on track to snap a three-week winning streak.
Gold retreats below $2,020 as US yields push higher
Gold broke below its daily range and declined toward $2,010 with the immediate reaction to the upbeat US November jobs report. Although XAU/USD managed to recover toward $2,020, rising US Treasury bond yields triggered another leg lower.
Bitcoin price could retrace to $42,000 if US Nonfarm Payroll comes in at 180,000
Bitcoin price just like other assets, is highly impacted by the macro-financial developments. This includes the Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) report released by the BLS of the United States.
The week ahead – Fed, ECB and Bank of England rate decisions
When the Federal Reserve kept rates unchanged back in November for the second meeting in a row there was still the distinct possibility that the final meeting of 2023 would provide the possibility of one more rate rise to round off the year in line with Fed policymakers dot plot forecasts of 5.6%.