AUD looks vulnerable medium-term – TDS

Pablo Piovano FXStreet

In view of FX Strategists at TDS, the Aussie Dollar could be under extra pressure following RBA-Fed policy divergence.

Key Quotes

“Very little has changed, although Q1 domestic inflation accelerated to mid-target 2.6%/yr. RBA is juggling a strong housing market with weak labour market fundamentals, and remains upbeat about the global backdrop. The macroprudential tools (and higher mortgage rates) targeting interest-only loans are welcome, but not enough to dampen appetite for record owner-occupied debt, and so a Nov hike remains our base case”.

“If the RBA sits tight and the Fed hikes twicemore the cash rate differential shrinks to zero. While consensus claims that benign underlying inflation stays the RBA’s hand, we can’t ignore the fact that Australia’s safe high yielding status could be eroded. Losing global investor appeal could see heavy medium-term downside on the Australian dollar”.

Author

Pablo Piovano

FXStreet

Born and bred in Argentina, Pablo has been carrying on with his passion for FX markets and trading since his first college years.

GBP/USD clings to multi-day peaks below 1.3500

GBP/USD trades with marked gains on Friday, now giving away some gains following an earlier surpass of the key 1.3500 yardstick. Indeed, Cable gathers fresh steam amid the strong offered stance in the Greenback, all after US NFP badly missed expectations in July.

EUR/USD: Post-NFP bounce falters around 1.1580

EUR/USD reverses Thursday’s decline and trades with solid gains in the 1.1560 region, or two-month peaks, on Friday. The pair’s firm performance comes in a context of a sharp correction in the US Dollar as investors continue to assess disheartening US NFP readings.

How Wall Street rigs the game [Video]

In this week’s Live from the Vault, Andrew Maguire is joined by Peter Antico and Sean Stone to discuss the Paradigm of Money - an in-depth expose of financial market corruption, from naked shorting to the two-tier system that protects Wall Street.

XRP Price Forecast: XRP nears critical $1.00 support

Ripple (XRP) remains pressured on Friday, trading around $1.03 at the time of writing. The token appears to hold this current level as support but lacks a catalyst to sustain a knee-jerk rebound toward the next key resistance at $1.10.

Is Gold about to enter its biggest bull run since 2020?

Gold has stormed back into the spotlight and its next move could leave late buyers chasing. On August 5, the yellow metal surged almost 7% – roughly $174 – to close near $4,308 an ounce, posting one of its biggest daily advances in recent history. A weaker U.S dollar, falling Treasury yields, changing Federal Reserve expectations and renewed safe-haven demand all struck at once.

9-3: Is the Federal Reserve’s vote tally Warsh's new forward guidance?

The rate did not move. Neither did the statement, and that’s the more interesting fact. Set the July 29 Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) statement beside the one issued on June 17, and the two documents are identical apart from a single verb and a paragraph at the bottom naming three dissenters.