|

AUD/JPY: trade war risk just elevated knocking the wind out of the Aussie

  • AUD/JPY is chopping its way back to the downside after the symmetrical triangle's, (ST), break with the price now clustered around the recent trend line support of between early Sep's lows and the 25th Oct low ST lows.
  • AUD/JPY is pressured as risk sours on Wall Street courtesy of the latest trade war headlines. 
  • AUD/JPY is currently trading at 79.27 from a high of 79.76 scoring a low of 79.10 as the yen caught a broad-based risk-off bid. 

AUD/JPY bears have been in control with rallies faded while price trades below the 200 4hr & 1hr SMAs as the price chops its way out of the ST to the downside. The latest news that the markets have reacted to flows a period of silence in the rade war front as we lead up to the G20 and next possible summit between Trump and Xi on the 26th Nov in Buenos Aires. 

Today, it was reported that the U.S. is preparing to announce by early December tariffs on all remaining Chinese imports if talks next month between the presidents fail to ease the trade war. This rattled Wall Street that had started out well in a bullish correction. All three benchmarks are a sea of red - S&P 500 - 0.66%, NASDAQ -1.63% and the DJIA -0.99%. AUD/USD had a rough ride on this while USD/JPY actually remained relatively firm as the dollar takes the news in its stride looking solid above 96.50 and the 21-hr SMA still. Looking ahead, Chinese PMI and Aussie CPI could be the nail in the coffin for the Aussie. 

AUD/JPY levels

AUD/JPY is on the verge of breaking away from the 4hr 21 SMA with eyes on S1 78.75 with MACD turning less positive on the 4hr sticks although the daily points to a period of consolidation around the pivot. RSI is neutral. A break of S1 opens S2 at 78.16 and 77.75 as S3. To the upside, R3 is located at 80.76 guarding the 200-D SMA at 82.36.

Author

Ross J Burland

Ross J Burland, born in England, UK, is a sportsman at heart. He played Rugby and Judo for his county, Kent and the South East of England Rugby team.

More from Ross J Burland
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD accelerates losses, focus is on 1.1800

EUR/USD’s selling pressure is gathering pace now, opening the door to a potential test of the key 1.1800 region sooner rather than later. The pair’s pullback comes on the back of marked gains in the US Dollar following US data releases and the publication of the FOMC Minutes later in the day.

GBP/USD turns negative near 1.3540

GBP/USD reverses its initial upside momentum and is now adding to previous declines, revisiting at the same time the 1.3540 region on Wednesday. Cable’s downtick comes on the back of decent gains in the Greenback and easing UK inflation figures, which seem to have reinforced the case for a BoE rate cut in March.

Gold picks pace, flirts with $5,000

Gold is back on the front foot on Wednesday, shaking off part of the early week softness and pushing higher towards the key $5,000 mark per troy ounce. The move comes ahead of the FOMC Minutes and is unfolding despite an intense rebound in the US Dollar.

Fed Minutes to shed light on January hold decision amid hawkish rate outlook

The Minutes of the Fed’s January 27-28 monetary policy meeting will be published today. Details of discussions on the decision to leave the policy rate unchanged will be scrutinized by investors.

Mixed UK inflation data no gamechanger for the Bank of England

Food inflation plunged in January, but service sector price pressure is proving stickier. We continue to expect Bank of England rate cuts in March and June. The latest UK inflation read is a mixed bag for the Bank of England, but we doubt it drastically changes the odds of a March rate cut.

Sui extends sideways action ahead of Grayscale’s GSUI ETF launch

Sui is extending its downtrend for the second consecutive day, trading at 0.95 at the time of writing on Wednesday. The Layer-1 token is down over 16% in February and approximately 34% from the start of the year, aligning with the overall bearish sentiment across the crypto market.