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AUD/JPY Price Analysis: To face downward pressure, as bearish harami emerges

  • AUD/JPY trendline suggests a neutral to downward bias as the pair struggles to break the Kijun-Sen line at 95.32.
  • Bearish harami formation with a hanging man indicates potential sellers' momentum, heightening the pullback risk.
  • Mixed oscillators and bearish technical indicators, including a bearish Chikou Span, hint at potential AUD/JPY losses in the near term.

AUD/JPY registers minuscule losses of 0.07% after touching a daily low of 94.86, but a late risk-on impulse boosted the Australian Dollar (AUD) toward the current exchange rate. The AUD/JPY is trading at 95.30, down 0.05%.

AUD/JPY Price Analysis: Technical outlook

In the near term, the outlook for the AUD/JPY is neutral to downward biased after the pair struggled to break above the Kijun-Sen line at 95.32 for the last couple of days. Aldo, a formation of a bearish harami with a hanging man, suggests sellers are gathering momentum.

That said, the AUD/JPY first support would be the 95.00 figure, followed by the Tenkan-Sen at 94.78. A breach of those levels would expose the top of the Kuo at 94.50/60, followed by the 94.00 figure.

Conversely, if AUD/JPY reclaims the Kijun-Sen, at 95.32, the next resistance would emerge at the October 21 daily high at 95.7, ahead of challenging the 96.00 mark.

Oscillator-wise, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) portrays the pair as bullish; however, the three-day Rate of Change (RoC) shows buying pressure is waning, opening the door for a pullback.

Hence, technical signals suggest the AUD/JPY might be headed downwards, with the Kijun-Sen standing above the Tenkan-Sen, price action below the former, and the Chikou Span turning bearish; the AUD/JPY is headed downwards. That, alongside mixed oscillators, could pave the way for AUD/JPY  losses.

AUD/JPY Price Action – Daily chart

AUD/JPY Daily chart

AUD/JPY

Overview
Today last price95.36
Today Daily Change-0.08
Today Daily Change %-0.08
Today daily open95.44
 
Trends
Daily SMA2095.29
Daily SMA5094.1
Daily SMA10091.74
Daily SMA20091.92
 
Levels
Previous Daily High95.79
Previous Daily Low94.65
Previous Weekly High95.79
Previous Weekly Low93.78
Previous Monthly High97.68
Previous Monthly Low90.3
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%95.35
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%95.09
Daily Pivot Point S194.8
Daily Pivot Point S294.16
Daily Pivot Point S393.67
Daily Pivot Point R195.94
Daily Pivot Point R296.43
Daily Pivot Point R397.07
 

Author

Christian Borjon Valencia

Markets analyst, news editor, and trading instructor with over 14 years of experience across FX, commodities, US equity indices, and global macro markets.

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