|

AUD/JPY Price Analysis: To face downward pressure, as bearish harami emerges

  • AUD/JPY trendline suggests a neutral to downward bias as the pair struggles to break the Kijun-Sen line at 95.32.
  • Bearish harami formation with a hanging man indicates potential sellers' momentum, heightening the pullback risk.
  • Mixed oscillators and bearish technical indicators, including a bearish Chikou Span, hint at potential AUD/JPY losses in the near term.

AUD/JPY registers minuscule losses of 0.07% after touching a daily low of 94.86, but a late risk-on impulse boosted the Australian Dollar (AUD) toward the current exchange rate. The AUD/JPY is trading at 95.30, down 0.05%.

AUD/JPY Price Analysis: Technical outlook

In the near term, the outlook for the AUD/JPY is neutral to downward biased after the pair struggled to break above the Kijun-Sen line at 95.32 for the last couple of days. Aldo, a formation of a bearish harami with a hanging man, suggests sellers are gathering momentum.

That said, the AUD/JPY first support would be the 95.00 figure, followed by the Tenkan-Sen at 94.78. A breach of those levels would expose the top of the Kuo at 94.50/60, followed by the 94.00 figure.

Conversely, if AUD/JPY reclaims the Kijun-Sen, at 95.32, the next resistance would emerge at the October 21 daily high at 95.7, ahead of challenging the 96.00 mark.

Oscillator-wise, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) portrays the pair as bullish; however, the three-day Rate of Change (RoC) shows buying pressure is waning, opening the door for a pullback.

Hence, technical signals suggest the AUD/JPY might be headed downwards, with the Kijun-Sen standing above the Tenkan-Sen, price action below the former, and the Chikou Span turning bearish; the AUD/JPY is headed downwards. That, alongside mixed oscillators, could pave the way for AUD/JPY  losses.

AUD/JPY Price Action – Daily chart

AUD/JPY Daily chart

AUD/JPY

Overview
Today last price95.36
Today Daily Change-0.08
Today Daily Change %-0.08
Today daily open95.44
 
Trends
Daily SMA2095.29
Daily SMA5094.1
Daily SMA10091.74
Daily SMA20091.92
 
Levels
Previous Daily High95.79
Previous Daily Low94.65
Previous Weekly High95.79
Previous Weekly Low93.78
Previous Monthly High97.68
Previous Monthly Low90.3
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%95.35
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%95.09
Daily Pivot Point S194.8
Daily Pivot Point S294.16
Daily Pivot Point S393.67
Daily Pivot Point R195.94
Daily Pivot Point R296.43
Daily Pivot Point R397.07
 

Author

Christian Borjon Valencia

Markets analyst, news editor, and trading instructor with over 14 years of experience across FX, commodities, US equity indices, and global macro markets.

More from Christian Borjon Valencia
Share:

Editor's Picks

GBP/USD keeps the bid bias near 1.3550

GBP/USD leaves behind part of the recent three-day retracement and hovers around the 1.3550 region on Monday. The Greenback’s fresh downward trend helps Cable and the rest of the risk complex recoup part of the recent ground lost while attention remains on the potential Fed rate path.

EUR/USD retakes 1.1600; looks at the 200-day SMA

EUR/USD manages to gather fresh steam and advances past the 1.1600 hurdle as Monday’s NA session draws to a close. Indeed, the pair patially reverses Friday’s sharp retracement amid the renewed downside momentum in the US Dollar. Moving forward, the flash Inflation Rate in the euro zone and US JOLTs and the ISM Manufacturing should keep investors entertained on turnaround Tuesday.

Gold: Defending $4,400 is critical for buyers

Gold fades Monday’s rebound from eight-day lows, reverting toward $4,400 early Tuesday. US Dollar bounces sharply amid US-Iran tensions-led risk aversion and hawkish Fed bets. Gold attacks 21-day SMA near $4,400 after defending it on Monday; RSI still bullish.

Bitcoin shows resilience at $78,000 – Arbitrum, Curve DAO rally
The broader cryptocurrency market sustains its risk-on sentiment, with Bitcoin (BTC) showing resilience near $78,000 on Tuesday. Arbitrum (ARB) records double-digit gains over the last 24 hours as the Robinhood app, built on Arbitrum Orbit, hits a record high in revenue collection, while Curve DAO (CRV) follows suit. Bitcoin trades at $78,415 at press time on Tuesday, holding a clear bullish bias.
Fed Chair Warsh runs open-mouth operations at Jackson Hole but can he deliver?
Federal Reserve Chairman Kevin Warsh moved markets on Friday with his Jackson Hole speech, even though the central bank has yet to do anything to move inflation. Clearly, Warsh wants to convey a message. He’s tough on inflation, and the Fed will “deliver price stability.”
Diesel’s record $100 warning: The oil shock hiding in plain sight

The Oil market may look calmer than it did a few months ago, but diesel is sending a very different message. The US diesel crack spread, the premium of ultra-low sulphur diesel futures over WTI, recently surged above $100 per barrel for the first time, reaching an intraday record of just over $102.00.