|

AUD/JPY Price Analysis: Retreats to 95.00 but holds key support

  • AUD/JPY was seen trading around the 95.00 area ahead of the Asian session, posting a slight decline.
  • After failing to sustain gains near 96.00, the pair retreated but remains above the 20-day SMA, keeping the outlook positive.
  • Traders should monitor if the RSI crosses below 50, which could indicate a shift in momentum.

AUD/JPY edged lower on Tuesday ahead of the Asian session, retreating below 95.00 after hitting resistance near the 96.00 zone. Despite the pullback, the pair still holds above its 20-day Simple Moving Average (SMA), keeping the broader trend tilted to the upside.

Technically, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) has declined sharply but remains in positive territory at 54. A drop below the 50 mark could signal a potential shift in sentiment. Meanwhile, the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) continues to print rising green bars, suggesting that bullish momentum remains in place for now.

Looking ahead, immediate support lies at the 20-day SMA, while stronger demand may emerge near 94.50. On the upside, resistance is seen around 96.00, where sellers have consistently capped gains. If the pair manages to reclaim this level, further upside toward 97.00 could be in play.

AUD/JPY daily chart

Author

Patricio Martín

Patricio is an economist from Argentina passionate about global finance and understanding the daily movements of the markets.

More from Patricio Martín
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD recovers to 1.1750 region as 2025 draws to a close

Following the bearish action seen in the European session on Wednesday, EUR/USD regains its traction and recovery to the 1.1750 region. Nevertheless, the pair's volatility remains low as trading conditions thin out on the last day of the year.

GBP/USD stays weak near 1.3450 on modest USD recovery

GBP/USD remains under modest beairsh pressure and fluctuates at around 1.3450 on Wednesday. The US Dollar finds fresh demand due to the end-of-the-year position adjustments, weighing on the pair amid the pre-New Year trading lull. 

Gold retreats to $4,300 area, looks to post monthly gains

Gold stays on the back foot on the last day of 2025 and trades near $4,300, possibly pressured by profit-taking and position adjustments. Nevertheless, XAU/USD remains on track to post gains for December and extend its winning streak into a fifth consecutive month.

Bitcoin, Ethereum and XRP prepare for a potential New Year rebound

Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Ripple are holding steady on Wednesday after recording minor gains on the previous day. Technically, Bitcoin could extend gains within a triangle pattern while Ethereum and Ripple face critical overhead resistance. 

Economic outlook 2026-2027 in advanced countries: Solidity test

After a year marked by global economic resilience and ending on a note of optimism, 2026 looks promising and could be a year of solid economic performance. In our baseline scenario, we expect most of the supportive factors at work in 2025 to continue to play a role in 2026.

Crypto market outlook for 2026

Year 2025 was volatile, as crypto often is.  Among positive catalysts were favourable regulatory changes in the U.S., rise of Digital Asset Treasuries (DAT), adoption of AI and tokenization of Real-World-Assets (RWA).