|

AUD/JPY Price Analysis: Looks set to visit immediate support below 85.00 ahead of RBA

  • AUD/JPY prints mild losses while stepping back from two-week-old horizontal resistance.
  • Bearish MACD, downbeat market sentiment backs further weakness ahead of the key event.
  • RBA is likely to keep the benchmark rate, bond purchase unchanged but Rate Statement will be the key to watch.

AUD/JPY bounces off intraday low while picking up bids to 84.60, down 0.05% on a day, during early Tuesday. Even so, the quote registers another failure to cross the horizontal hurdle established since April 20.

Not only the nearby resistance area close to 84.75-70 but the market’s risk-off mood and cautious sentiment ahead of the Reserve Bank of Australia’s (RBA) monetary policy meeting also weigh on the quote.

Read: AUD/USD remains pressured around mid-0.7700s on downbeat Australia trade data, RBA eyed

Given the bearish MACD and the latest pullback moves, AUD/JPY is more likely to retest an ascending support line from April 22, around 84.40, should the RBA disappoint markets.

However, any further weakness past-84.20 will be challenged by the 200-SMA level of 83.90.

On the flip side, optimistic comments from the RBA could again help AUD/JPY to battle the 84.70-75 immediate resistance area.

It should be noted that a clear rise beyond 84.75 will propel the quote to the previous month’s high near the 85.00 threshold ahead of targeting March’s high near 85.45.

AUD/JPY four-hour chart

Trend: Further weakness expected

Additional important levels

Overview
Today last price84.6
Today Daily Change-0.04
Today Daily Change %-0.05%
Today daily open84.64
 
Trends
Daily SMA2083.96
Daily SMA5083.84
Daily SMA10081.98
Daily SMA20079.02
 
Levels
Previous Daily High84.75
Previous Daily Low84.24
Previous Weekly High85.01
Previous Weekly Low83.5
Previous Monthly High85.01
Previous Monthly Low83.04
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%84.56
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%84.44
Daily Pivot Point S184.34
Daily Pivot Point S284.04
Daily Pivot Point S383.83
Daily Pivot Point R184.84
Daily Pivot Point R285.05
Daily Pivot Point R385.35

Author

Anil Panchal

Anil Panchal

FXStreet

Anil Panchal has nearly 15 years of experience in tracking financial markets. With a keen interest in macroeconomics, Anil aptly tracks global news/updates and stays well-informed about the global financial moves and their implications.

More from Anil Panchal
Share:

Editor's Picks

AUD/USD falls to near 0.7100 after slipping below 50-day EMA

AUD/USD depreciates after registering minor gains in the previous day, trading around 0.7120 during the Asian hours. The technical analysis of the daily chart shows the pair consolidating sideways within a rectangle pattern, as neither bulls nor bears gain control. The AUD/USD pair is holding a slight bearish tone however as it sits beneath both the nine-day and 50-day EMAs.

160.00: USD/JPY back near intervention territory after upbeat US jobs report

US Nonfarm Payrolls beat expectations by a wide margin in May, with 172K jobs added. The US Dollar rebounds after the release, helping USD/JPY recover from its intraday lows. Warnings from Japanese authorities continue to limit upside potential near the 160.00 threshold.

Gold targets $4,300 amid stronger Dollar

Gold faces increasing selling interest and navigates the area of three-month lows near the $4,300 mark per troy ounce on Friday. The precious metal’s decline comes as traders assess the stronger-than-expected NFP, while the bid bias in the Greenback and higher US Treasury yields also collaborate with the retracement.

Cardano hits five-year low even as Hoskinson clarifies "break" isn't an exit

Cardano (ADA) price is down 10% at press time on Friday, extending losses over 30% so far this week amid Charles Hoskinson's clarification that "break" isn't an exit.

Week ahead – Fed countdown begins amid US inflation data and geopolitical risks

Fed Chair Warsh’s first meeting approaches as key US inflation data could reshape expectations. Oil prices remain elevated as US-Iran talks continue; tariffs also return to the spotlight. ECB is expected to hike; will it be a one-off move or is July live?

The US economy defies the rules: 100 days into the Oil shock and the recession signal is still missing

More than three months after the start of the Iran war and the resulting disruption to global energy markets, the US economy continues to display remarkable resilience. The conflict has triggered a sharp rise in Oil prices, reignited inflationary pressures and fueled widespread concerns about a potential economic slowdown.