|

AUD/JPY Price Analysis: Negative divergence to send prices towards 96.20

  • AUD/JPY prepares to finish the week with gains close to 1.90%.
  • Negative divergence in the daily chart opened the door for an AUD/JPY fall towards 96.20.

The AUD/JPY finishes the day, forming a doji after dovish remarks by the RBA Governor Philip Lowe weighed on the Australian dollar, which weakened against most G8 currencies. At the time of writing, the AUD/JPY is trading at 97.27, slightly below its opening price, as the Asian Pacific session begins.

AUD/JPY Price Analysis: Technical outlook

On Thursday, the AUD/JPY reached a fresh YTD high at 97.49 before tumbling towards the daily low at 96.63. However, late in the North American session, AUD/JPY buyers pushed the pair above the 97.00 thresholds, finishing Thursday’s session at 97.27.

AUD/JPY traders should be aware that the Relative Strength Index (RSI) turned flat, at 68.88, before entering overbought conditions, flashing signs of negative divergence between RSI and AUD/JPY price action.

Therefore, the AUD/JPY might be headed to the downside. The AUD/JPY first support would be the September 8 low at 96.62. Once broken, the next demand zone would be the September 7 daily low at 95.99, followed by the September 6 low at 95.48, before reaching the weekly low at 94.98.

AUD/JPY Key Technical Levels

AUD/JPY

Overview
Today last price97.29
Today Daily Change0.01
Today Daily Change %0.01
Today daily open97.28
 
Trends
Daily SMA2094.95
Daily SMA5094.14
Daily SMA10093.31
Daily SMA20089.16
 
Levels
Previous Daily High97.4
Previous Daily Low96
Previous Weekly High96.2
Previous Weekly Low94.71
Previous Monthly High96.2
Previous Monthly Low90.52
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%96.87
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%96.54
Daily Pivot Point S196.39
Daily Pivot Point S295.5
Daily Pivot Point S394.99
Daily Pivot Point R197.79
Daily Pivot Point R298.3
Daily Pivot Point R399.19

Author

Christian Borjon Valencia

Markets analyst, news editor, and trading instructor with over 14 years of experience across FX, commodities, US equity indices, and global macro markets.

More from Christian Borjon Valencia
Share:

Editor's Picks

AUD/USD stays weak above 0.6900 after China’s trade data

AUD/USD struggles to capitalize on the previous day’s recovery and stays defensive on the 0.6900 level following the narrowing of trade surplus in China. Increased December Fed rate hike bets allows the US Dollar to pause its decline and weigh on the pair. US CPI data is next of note for the major.

USD/JPY retakes 158.00 on weak Japanese data; focus shifts to US CPI

USD/JPY attracts some dip-buyers and retakes 158.00 in the Asian session on Tuesday as a fall in Japan’s Household Spending offsets hawkish BoJ Summary of Opinions, undermining the Japanese Yen. Moreover, Fed hike bets support the safe-haven US Dollar and the currency pair. The market focus now shifts to the release of the crucial US CPI report.

Gold sticks to modest losses amid Fed hike bets; holds above $4,100 ahead of US CPI

Gold meets fresh supply, eroding a part of the previous day's strong gains to the $4,150 resistance zone, albeit it holds above the $4,100 mark heading into the European session. Firming US Federal Reserve rate-hike expectations turn out to be a key factor driving flows away from the non-yielding bullion. Meanwhile, the US Dollar struggles to lure buyers amid mixed signals regarding the state of diplomatic talks between the US and Iran, offering some support to the commodity as traders seem hesitant ahead of US consumer inflation figures.

Bitcoin hits lowest weekly close since August as short-term holders slip into losses

Bitcoin fell below $75,000 on Tuesday, after recording its lowest weekly close since August as selling pressure pushed recent buyers into losses.

This weeks’ two big inflation reports will offer perspective

Payrolls on Friday surprised with a big gain, 165,000 new jobs rather than the 65,000 forecast. Also the unemployment rate fell from 4.2% to 4.1% although average hourly earnings are up only 0.4% ($32.75). This weeks’ two big inflation reports will offer perspective. Tomorrow it’s CPI and on Friday, which is a Friday the 13th, it’s PPI.

Gold reclaimed $4,100. Tuesday’s CPI test decides if it holds
Gold (XAU/USD) starts the week on a positive note, reclaiming the $4,100 psychological level as the US Dollar (USD) retreats from its recent highs. The precious metal recovers from Friday's losses, although investors remain cautious ahead of Tuesday's US Consumer Price Index (CPI) report, which could determine the next direction for Bullion.