AUD/JPY Price Analysis: Impending bear cross tests bulls above $83.00


  • AUD/JPY retreats from six-week high, recently pressured around intraday low.
  • Bullish MACD signals keep buyers hopeful but RSI line, two-month-old horizontal resistance challenge further upside.

AUD/JPY eases after refreshing multi-day top, down 0.10% intraday around 83.55 during early Monday morning in Europe.

In doing so, the cross-currency pair stays above 61.8% Fibonacci retracement (Fibo.) of October-December declines but teases a bearish moving average cross-over by the press time.

However, the bullish MACD signals suggest the quote’s further upside towards a horizontal area comprising multiple levels marked since November 04, around 84.20.

While the RSI conditions suggest a pullback from the stated resistance, failures to do so will need to pierce the 84.70 hurdle before challenging the October 26 peak of 86.25.

Meanwhile, a clear downside break of the stated key Fibo. level surrounding 83.40 will aim for the mid-December swing high near 82.40.

During the quote’s weakness past 82.40, the 50-DMA will easily be seen dropping below the 200-DMA, suggesting a bearish cross and signaling further weakness of AUD/JPY prices.

As a result, an upward sloping trend line from December 03, near 81.55, will be crucial to watch for AUD/JPY sellers.

AUD/JPY: Daily chart

Trend: Pullback expected

Additional important levels

Overview
Today last price 83.61
Today Daily Change -0.02
Today Daily Change % -0.02%
Today daily open 83.63
 
Trends
Daily SMA20 81.9
Daily SMA50 82.73
Daily SMA100 81.98
Daily SMA200 82.68
 
Levels
Previous Daily High 83.75
Previous Daily Low 83.36
Previous Weekly High 83.76
Previous Weekly Low 82.62
Previous Monthly High 83.76
Previous Monthly Low 78.79
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 83.6
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 83.51
Daily Pivot Point S1 83.41
Daily Pivot Point S2 83.18
Daily Pivot Point S3 83.01
Daily Pivot Point R1 83.8
Daily Pivot Point R2 83.98
Daily Pivot Point R3 84.2

 

 

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