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AUD/JPY Price Analysis: Impending bear cross tests bulls above $83.00

  • AUD/JPY retreats from six-week high, recently pressured around intraday low.
  • Bullish MACD signals keep buyers hopeful but RSI line, two-month-old horizontal resistance challenge further upside.

AUD/JPY eases after refreshing multi-day top, down 0.10% intraday around 83.55 during early Monday morning in Europe.

In doing so, the cross-currency pair stays above 61.8% Fibonacci retracement (Fibo.) of October-December declines but teases a bearish moving average cross-over by the press time.

However, the bullish MACD signals suggest the quote’s further upside towards a horizontal area comprising multiple levels marked since November 04, around 84.20.

While the RSI conditions suggest a pullback from the stated resistance, failures to do so will need to pierce the 84.70 hurdle before challenging the October 26 peak of 86.25.

Meanwhile, a clear downside break of the stated key Fibo. level surrounding 83.40 will aim for the mid-December swing high near 82.40.

During the quote’s weakness past 82.40, the 50-DMA will easily be seen dropping below the 200-DMA, suggesting a bearish cross and signaling further weakness of AUD/JPY prices.

As a result, an upward sloping trend line from December 03, near 81.55, will be crucial to watch for AUD/JPY sellers.

AUD/JPY: Daily chart

Trend: Pullback expected

Additional important levels

Overview
Today last price83.61
Today Daily Change-0.02
Today Daily Change %-0.02%
Today daily open83.63
 
Trends
Daily SMA2081.9
Daily SMA5082.73
Daily SMA10081.98
Daily SMA20082.68
 
Levels
Previous Daily High83.75
Previous Daily Low83.36
Previous Weekly High83.76
Previous Weekly Low82.62
Previous Monthly High83.76
Previous Monthly Low78.79
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%83.6
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%83.51
Daily Pivot Point S183.41
Daily Pivot Point S283.18
Daily Pivot Point S383.01
Daily Pivot Point R183.8
Daily Pivot Point R283.98
Daily Pivot Point R384.2

Author

Anil Panchal

Anil Panchal

FXStreet

Anil Panchal has nearly 15 years of experience in tracking financial markets. With a keen interest in macroeconomics, Anil aptly tracks global news/updates and stays well-informed about the global financial moves and their implications.

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