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AUD/JPY Price Analysis: Gains momentum below the 99.00 mark amid the overbought condition

  • AUD/JPY attracts some buyers around 98.95 in Wednesday’s early European session. 
  • The cross resumes its bullish outlook with the overbought RSI condition.
  • The first upside barrier is located in the 99.00–99.05 region; 98.10 acts as an initial support level. 

The AUD/JPY cross gains traction below the 99.00 psychological barrier during the early European trading hours on Wednesday. The decline of the Japanese Yen (JPY) to a multi-month low following the Bank of Japan’s (BoJ) dovish hike on Tuesday creates a tailwind for the cross. At the press time, the cross is trading at 98.95, up 0.43% on the day. 

Technically, AUD/JPY keeps the bullish vibe unchanged as the cross is above the key 100-period Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs) on the four-hour chart. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) holds in bullish territory above the 50 midline. However, the overbought RSI condition indicates that further consolidation cannot be ruled out before positioning for any near-term AUD/JPY appreciation.

The first upside barrier for the cross will emerge at the 99.00–99.05 zone, representing a high of February 23 and a round figure. The key hurdle is seen at the psychological round mark of 100.00. Further north, the next upstate target is located near a weekly low of May 10, 2013 at 100.40. 

On the other hand, a high of March 17 at 98.10 acts as an initial support level for AUD/JPY. The next contention level to watch is the 100-period EMA at 97.85. Any follow-through selling below the latter will resume the downside and drag the cross lower to a low of March 18 at 97.65, followed by the lower limit of the Bollinger Band at 97.24. 

AUD/JPY four-hour chart

AUD/JPY

Overview
Today last price98.97
Today Daily Change0.43
Today Daily Change %0.44
Today daily open98.54
 
Trends
Daily SMA2097.98
Daily SMA5097.54
Daily SMA10097.19
Daily SMA20096.04
 
Levels
Previous Daily High98.61
Previous Daily Low97.58
Previous Weekly High97.97
Previous Weekly Low96.9
Previous Monthly High99.06
Previous Monthly Low95.5
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%98.22
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%97.98
Daily Pivot Point S197.88
Daily Pivot Point S297.21
Daily Pivot Point S396.84
Daily Pivot Point R198.91
Daily Pivot Point R299.28
Daily Pivot Point R399.94

Author

Lallalit Srijandorn

Lallalit Srijandorn is a Parisian at heart. She has lived in France since 2019 and now becomes a digital entrepreneur based in Paris and Bangkok.

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