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AUD/JPY Price Analysis: Corrects upwards, but downside risks remain around 61.8 Fibonacci level

  • AUD/JPY pair sees two straight days of losses as sellers remain in charge.
  • A breach of 20-day EMA support at 88.81 opens the path for further decline.

AUD/JPY Price Action

With the AUD/JPY pair extending its losses to two-straight days and breaching the 20-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) support at 88.81 has opened the path for sellers. After testing previous resistance at around 90.00, where a prior support trendline turned resistance, sellers gathered momentum, and since then, the AUD/JPY has dropped 2.86%.

Oscillators remain in bearish territory, with the Relative Strength Index (RSI) aiming lower, while the Rate of Change (RoC) portrays sellers remaining in charge.

In the short term, the AUD/JPY 1-hour chart portrays the pair correcting upwards, testing the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement around 88.24. Upside risks lie at the central pivot point at 88.33, which, once cleared, would expose the R1 daily pivot at 89.03. Nevertheless, the confluence of April’s 5 low and the 61.80% Fibonacci retracement at around 88.62 would cap any rallies. If AUD/JPY retreats at the latter, look for a slide toward the S2 daily pivot point at 86.77.

AUD/JPY 1-Hour Chart

AUD/JPY Hourly chart

AUD/JPY Technical Levels

AUD/JPY

Overview
Today last price88.18
Today Daily Change-0.74
Today Daily Change %-0.83
Today daily open88.92
 
Trends
Daily SMA2088.63
Daily SMA5090.54
Daily SMA10090.91
Daily SMA20092.58
 
Levels
Previous Daily High90.17
Previous Daily Low88.58
Previous Weekly High89.68
Previous Weekly Low86.67
Previous Monthly High92.25
Previous Monthly Low86.06
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%89.19
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%89.56
Daily Pivot Point S188.28
Daily Pivot Point S287.64
Daily Pivot Point S386.69
Daily Pivot Point R189.86
Daily Pivot Point R290.81
Daily Pivot Point R391.45
 

Author

Christian Borjon Valencia

Christian Borjon began his career as a retail trader in 2010, mainly focused on technical analysis and strategies around it. He started as a swing trader, as he used to work in another industry unrelated to the financial markets.

More from Christian Borjon Valencia
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