|

AUD/JPY Price Analysis: Corrective pullback approaches 200-HMA after RBA Minutes

  • AUD/JPY extends rebound from 50% Fibonacci retracement level on RBA Minutes.
  • RBA policymakers hint at further rate hikes but signal uncertainty ahead, per the minutes.
  • RSI recovery from oversold territory also favors buyers to aim for the previous support line.
  • Two-week-old horizontal support zone could test bears past 93.10.

AUD/JPY picks up bids to consolidate intraday losses around 93.60 during Tuesday’s Asian session. In doing so, the cross-currency pair tries to cheer cautiously optimistic statements from the Reserve Bank of Australia’s (RBA) Minutes of the latest monetary policy meeting.

RBA Minutes mentioned that the board expects to take further steps in the process of normalizing monetary conditions over the months ahead, but it is not on a pre-set path, per Reuters.

Technically, AUD/JPY rebounds from the 50% Fibonacci retracement level of July 27 to August 02 downturn. The recovery moves also gain support from the RSI (14) as it recovers from the oversold territory.

However, the 200-HMA level surrounding 93.85 restricts the immediate upside of the AUD/JPY pair ahead of the previous support line from August 05, close to the 95.00 threshold at the latest.

On the contrary, a downside break of the 50% Fibonacci retracement level of 93.10 could quickly fetch the AUD/JPY prices toward the fortnight-long horizontal support area near 93.20-30.

AUD/JPY: Hourly chart

Trend: Limited upside expected

Additional important levels

Overview
Today last price93.66
Today Daily Change0.03
Today Daily Change %0.03%
Today daily open93.63
 
Trends
Daily SMA2094.08
Daily SMA5093.86
Daily SMA10092.97
Daily SMA20088.1
 
Levels
Previous Daily High95.09
Previous Daily Low93.07
Previous Weekly High95.15
Previous Weekly Low93.21
Previous Monthly High95.76
Previous Monthly Low91.42
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%93.84
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%94.32
Daily Pivot Point S192.77
Daily Pivot Point S291.91
Daily Pivot Point S390.74
Daily Pivot Point R194.79
Daily Pivot Point R295.95
Daily Pivot Point R396.82

Author

Anil Panchal

Anil Panchal

FXStreet

Anil Panchal has nearly 15 years of experience in tracking financial markets. With a keen interest in macroeconomics, Anil aptly tracks global news/updates and stays well-informed about the global financial moves and their implications.

More from Anil Panchal
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD flirts with daily highs, retargets 1.1900

EUR/USD regains upside traction, returning to the 1.1880 zone and refocusing its attention to the key 1.1900 barrier. The pair’s slight gains comes against the backdrop of a humble decline in the US Dollar as investors continue to assess the latest US CPI readings and the potential Fed’s rate path.

GBP/USD remains well bid around 1.3650

GBP/USD maintains its upside momentum in place, hovering around daily highs near 1.3650 and setting aside part of the recent three-day drop. Cable’s improved sentiment comes on the back of the Greenback’s  irresolute price action, while recent hawkish comments from the BoE’s Pill also collaborate with the uptick.

Gold clings to gains just above $5,000/oz

Gold is reclaiming part of the ground lost on Wednesday’s marked decline, as bargain-hunters keep piling up and lifting prices past the key $5,000 per troy ounce. The precious metal’s move higher is also underpinned by the slight pullback in the US Dollar and declining US Treasury yields across the curve.

Crypto Today: Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP in choppy price action, weighed down by falling institutional interest 

Bitcoin's upside remains largely constrained amid weak technicals and declining institutional interest. Ethereum trades sideways above $1,900 support with the upside capped below $2,000 amid ETF outflows.

Week ahead – Data blitz, Fed Minutes and RBNZ decision in the spotlight

US GDP and PCE inflation are main highlights, plus the Fed minutes. UK and Japan have busy calendars too with focus on CPI. Flash PMIs for February will also be doing the rounds. RBNZ meets, is unlikely to follow RBA’s hawkish path.

Ripple Price Forecast: XRP potential bottom could be in sight

Ripple edges up above the intraday low of $1.35 at the time of writing on Friday amid mixed price actions across the crypto market. The remittance token failed to hold support at $1.40 the previous day, reflecting risk-off sentiment amid a decline in retail and institutional sentiment.