|

AUD/JPY Price Analysis: Bulls eye recovery as short-term momentum turns cautiously optimistic

  • AUD/JPY trades near the 94.70 area with strong gains ahead of the Asian session.
  • Mixed technical outlook: short-term momentum improves while longer-term pressure persists.
  • Key resistance lies above 95.00; support seen near 93.80 and the 20-day SMA around 93.50.

The AUD/JPY pair was seen trading around the 94.70 zone on Monday ahead of the Asian session, not far from the midpoint of the day’s range. The pair posted solid gains, rising more than 1% and recovering from recent weakness, with price action hinting at renewed buyer interest. Technical indicators, however, offer a nuanced view of the pair’s short-term and longer-term dynamics.

Momentum indicators are sending mixed signals. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) climbed sharply into positive territory and now sits above the 50 level, pointing to increasing bullish momentum. Meanwhile, the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) prints flat green bars, suggesting a tentative shift in bias toward the upside. Most oscillators remain neutral, underscoring the fragile nature of the recovery.

Short-term Simple Moving Averages tilt bullish and currently support the upward move, though the pair still faces resistance from longer-term averages that remain tilted to the downside. A break above the 95.00 psychological level would be key for bulls to consolidate control. On the downside, initial support is seen around 93.80, followed by the 20-day SMA near 93.50, which has served as a pivot in recent sessions.

AUD/JPY daily chart

Author

Patricio Martín

Patricio is an economist from Argentina passionate about global finance and understanding the daily movements of the markets.

More from Patricio Martín
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD hangs close to 1.1650 ahead of US jobs data

EUR/USD stays better bid near 1.1650 in the European session on Tuesday. The prospect of a US interest rate cut on Wednesday keeps the US Dollar under check, underpinning the pair. In the meantime, traders look to the US ADP Employment Change four-week average and Jolts Job Openings reports for September and October. 

GBP/USD stays sub-1.3350, awaits US employment data

GBP/USD maintains its directionless price move and trades below 1.3350 in European hours on Tuesday. The pair capitalizes on renewed US Dollar weakness and a mildly optimistic mood ahead of US employment data.

Gold bounces back above $4,200, braces for US data

Gold reverses an intraday dip to the $4,170 area, or a one-week low, recovering ground above the $4,200 level in the European session on Tuesday.  Traders now look forward to Tuesday's US economic docket – featuring the release of the ADP Weekly Employment Change and JOLTS Job Openings. 

JOLTS Job Openings to provide fresh labor-market signals ahead of Fed decision

The Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey (JOLTS) will be released on Tuesday by the US Bureau of Labor Statistics. Market participants anticipate that Job Openings reached 7.2 million in October.

Global economic outlook 2026: Financial system risk, trade, public debt

The global and European economies have been resilient in recent years even accounting for the modest global slowdown of 2025. But risks for the recovery are rising, underscoring a negative medium-run global macro and credit outlook.

Chainlink Price Forecast: LINK holds firm as reserves hit 16-month low

Chainlink (LINK) began the week on a stable footing, trading around $13.70 at the time of writing on Tuesday, holding above a key support zone. Growing ecosystem activity from declining exchange reserves to a wave of new integrations continues to strengthen the network’s fundamental outlook.