|

AUD/JPY Price Analysis: Bears eye 80.60 downside target

  • AUD/JPY 15-min double top opens risk of a break below the 50-EMA.
  • The daily chart's W-formation has a neckline target near to 80.60.

AUD/JPY is stalling in hourly resistance leaving the focus on the downside for the sessions ahead. The following illustrates the progress the price is making as per the prior analysis, AUD/JPY Price Analysis: H1 bears moving into gear:

AUD/JPY H1 chart

AUD/JPY M15 chart

The bulls will be expecting a phase of distribution which brown down on the 15-min chart, there is the prospect of this retest of prior support failing and resulting in the start of a potential downside continuation. A break of the 50-EMA should be encouraging for the bears following the double top of the correction. 

AUD/JPY daily chart

From a daily perspective, the downside is a captivating prospect as well. The W-formation is a high completion price reversion pattern and the price would typically retest the neckline of the formation, which in this case, is located near 80.60. 

Author

Ross J Burland

Ross J Burland, born in England, UK, is a sportsman at heart. He played Rugby and Judo for his county, Kent and the South East of England Rugby team.

More from Ross J Burland
Share:

Editor's Picks

AUD/USD defends 0.7000 ahead of RBA on Tuesday

AUD/USD is defending 0.7000 at the start of a new week, trading near its lowest level since August 4 amid a bullish US Dollar. US yields hold near multi-year highs amid inflation risks from higher oil prices and rising bets on an October Fed rate hike. This, along with the US-Iran standoff, continues to underpin the safe-haven buck and weigh on the pair ahead of Tuesday's RBA policy announcements.

USD/JPY climbs back toward 158.00 after BoJ minutes amid firm USD

USD/JPY finds dip-buyers and reverses part of Friday's slide driven by speculation that authorities will step in again to prop up the Japanese Yen. However, the BoJ's dovish Minutes cap the JPY. Meanwhile, the US Dollar regains traction as the US-Iran standoff supports crude oil prices, fueling inflation fears and reaffirming bets for an October Fed rate hike. This further supports the pair, driving it back toward 158.00.

Gold cracks $4,200 for the first time in eight weeks

Gold falls hard at the start of a new week, breaching $4,200 for the first time in eight weeks. Firming October Fed rate-hike bets, along with oil-driven inflation risks, keep US bond yields elevated near multi-year highs, helping the US Dollar regain positive traction amid persistent Iran risks. These factors weigh heavily on the bullion.

Bitcoin takes a breather, Ethereum faces pullback, XRP consolidates 
Bitcoin (BTC), Ethereum (ETH) and Ripple (XRP) take a breather at the start of the week on Monday after their recent gains last week. BTC pulls back, trading below $83,600 while ETH extends its losses, trading below $2,700, and XRP consolidates around $1.500. The price action of these top three cryptocurrencies suggests a mild pullback or consolidation as traders assess their next direction.
After the Trump Xi summit, markets are trading three clocks
The summit delivered time, not a deal. Trade, oil and chips now each run to a date, and the macro backdrop matters more than the pageantry. Markets wanted a deal and got a calendar date instead. Xi Jinping left Washington on Friday after tea at the White House and a tour of the National Archives.
Fed vs BoJ: Both hiked. The market only believes one of them – and the chart shows which

The Fed and the BoJ have just done something remarkably similar. Both central banks raised interest rates by 25 bps last week, both are confronting inflation risks, and both signal that future decisions will depend on incoming economic data.