|

Asian Stock Market: Bears keep reins despite US-China yields spread shrinking to three-year low

  • Asian markets track their global counterparts as Treasury yields remain firmer ex-China.
  • PBOC’s readiness to defend the world’s second-largest economy keeps buyers hopeful.
  • Australia witnesses record virus-led deaths, New Zealand pushes back border reopening.
  • Tokyo and 12 other prefectures are up for quasi-emergency, geo-politics also play their roles.

Asian shares print losses, just like the rest, as market players brace for faster monetary policy normalization in the US during early Wednesday.

While portraying the mood, MSCI’s index of Asia-Pacific shares ex-Japan drops 0.30% whereas Japan’s Nikkei 225 declines 1.80% heading into the European session.

That said, 10-year Treasury yields of China government bonds dropped to the fresh low since June 2020, around 2.733% by the press time, after the People’s Bank of China (PBOC) official cited readiness to act.

“China's central bank will roll out more policy measures to stabilize the economy and move ahead of the market curve as downward pressure persists,” People’s Bank of China (PBOC) Vice Governor Liu Guoqiang said on Tuesday per Reuters. With this, the US-China 10-year bond coupon spread turns narrowest since 2019.

However, the same can’t defend Chinese equity bulls as markets in Beijing and Hong Kong stay negative, which in turn drown shares from South Korea, India, Indonesia.

It’s worth noting that Australian PM Scott Morrison’s failures to placate investors following the record virus-led deaths join hidden fears from New Zealand as the nation pushes back border reopening. Further, odds of quicker RBNZ rate hikes exert additional downside pressure on the NZX 50, down 1.75% daily at the latest.

On a broader front, the US 10-year Treasury yields rose 1.5 basis points (bps) to 1.88% after refreshing the two-year top to 1.89% during the early Asian session. Coupons of the other key US bond variants, like 2-year and 5-year, also renewed multi-day peaks during the early Asian session during the four-day uptrend before recently grinding higher. That said, S&P 500 Futures decline 0.43% intraday at the latest.

In addition to the yields and covid fears, escalating chatters concerning Russia-Ukraine and an Iraq-Turkey oil pipeline explosion also weigh on the market’s sentiment, which in turn drag equities and commodities. Though, the US dollar’s hesitance to track strong Treasury yields help Antipodeans to pare recent losses amid a sluggish session.

Moving on, US Treasury yields and other risk catalysts are crucial for markets while the US housing data and German inflation numbers may offer extra direction.

Read: S&P 500 falls under 4600 to hits fresh annual lows as Fed tightening fears, weak Goldman earnings weigh

Author

Anil Panchal

Anil Panchal

FXStreet

Anil Panchal has nearly 15 years of experience in tracking financial markets. With a keen interest in macroeconomics, Anil aptly tracks global news/updates and stays well-informed about the global financial moves and their implications.

More from Anil Panchal
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD holds above 1.1750 after mixed EU PMI data

EUR/USD manages to hold above 1.1750 but struggles to gather recovery momentum on Friday, following the mixed February PMI figures from Germany and the Eurozone. In the second half of the day, Q4 GDP, December inflation and February PMI data from the US will be watched closely by market participants.

GBP/USD recovers further toward 1.3500 after UK PMI data

GBP/USD is recovering ground further toward 1.3500 in European trading on Friday, helped by a modest uptick in the Pound Sterling after stronger-than-expected UK January Retail Sales and February PMI data. However, the pair's further upside could be limited amid persistent US Dollar strength as the focus turns to key US data. 

Gold sticks to positive bias above $5,000 ahead of US data

Gold gains some positive traction for the third consecutive day on Friday. holding above $5,000. Traders now look forward to the key US macro releases – the Advance Q4 GDP report and the Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index – for fresh trading impetus. 

US GDP growth expected to slow down significantly in Q4 after stellar Q3 

The United States Bureau of Economic Analysis will publish the first preliminary estimate of the fourth-quarter Gross Domestic Product at 13:30 GMT. Analysts forecast the US economy to have expanded at a 3% annualized rate, slowing down from the 4.4% growth posted in the previous quarter.

Iran tensions and AI fears at the forefront ahead of key US data

Thursday’s scorecard shows major US Stock benchmarks closed modestly in the red amid mounting US-Iran tensions and AI disruption worries. The S&P 500 shed 19 points (0.3%) to 6,861, the Nasdaq 100 lost 101 points (0.4%) to 24,797, and the Dow Jones Industrial Average dropped 267 points (0.5%) to 49,395.

Official Trump price approaches breakout with mixed signals from traders

Official Trump (TRUMP) is trading at $3.50 at the time of writing, approaching its upper consolidation range. A breakout from this range could open the door for an upside move. On-chain data shows market indecision, with balanced flows between bulls and bears, signaling a lack of clear directional bias.