|

ADP Employment Change 4-Week Average climbs to 4.75K through November 15

Private sector employment expanded over the latest month, with companies adding an average of 4,750 jobs per week in the four weeks ending November 15, according to data released Tuesday by Automatic Data Processing (ADP).

Market reaction

The US Dollar (USD) trades mostly unchanged just above the 99.00 region when gauged by the US Dollar Index (DXY), always amid the broad-based consolidation ahead of the FOMC event on Wednesday.

Employment FAQs

Labor market conditions are a key element to assess the health of an economy and thus a key driver for currency valuation. High employment, or low unemployment, has positive implications for consumer spending and thus economic growth, boosting the value of the local currency. Moreover, a very tight labor market – a situation in which there is a shortage of workers to fill open positions – can also have implications on inflation levels and thus monetary policy as low labor supply and high demand leads to higher wages.

The pace at which salaries are growing in an economy is key for policymakers. High wage growth means that households have more money to spend, usually leading to price increases in consumer goods. In contrast to more volatile sources of inflation such as energy prices, wage growth is seen as a key component of underlying and persisting inflation as salary increases are unlikely to be undone. Central banks around the world pay close attention to wage growth data when deciding on monetary policy.

The weight that each central bank assigns to labor market conditions depends on its objectives. Some central banks explicitly have mandates related to the labor market beyond controlling inflation levels. The US Federal Reserve (Fed), for example, has the dual mandate of promoting maximum employment and stable prices. Meanwhile, the European Central Bank’s (ECB) sole mandate is to keep inflation under control. Still, and despite whatever mandates they have, labor market conditions are an important factor for policymakers given its significance as a gauge of the health of the economy and their direct relationship to inflation.

Author

Pablo Piovano

Born and bred in Argentina, Pablo has been carrying on with his passion for FX markets and trading since his first college years.

More from Pablo Piovano
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD hits daily lows near 1.1630

EUR/USD now loses traction and slips back to the area of daily lows near 1.1630 on the back of the incipient recovery on the US Dollar. On the data front, the ADP weekly report surprised to the upside in the week to November 15 (+4.75K jobs).

GBP/USD comes under pressure, targets 1.3300

GBP/USD is now facing renewed selling pressure and is giving away initial gains, trading at shouting distance of the 1.3300 region amid some pick up in the demand for the Greenback post-ADP data.

Gold trims losses, challenges $4,200

Gold maintains its bid bias on Tuesday, although it is now losing some momentum in response to the modest bounce in the US Dollar following firmer prints from the weekly ADP data. Meanwhile, investors continue to see the Fed lowering its interest rates on Wednesday. 

JOLTS Job Openings to provide fresh labor-market signals ahead of Fed decision

The Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey (JOLTS) will be released on Tuesday by the US Bureau of Labor Statistics. Market participants anticipate that Job Openings reached 7.2 million in October.

Global economic outlook 2026: Financial system risk, trade, public debt

The global and European economies have been resilient in recent years even accounting for the modest global slowdown of 2025. But risks for the recovery are rising, underscoring a negative medium-run global macro and credit outlook.

Chainlink Price Forecast: LINK holds firm as reserves hit 16-month low

Chainlink (LINK) began the week on a stable footing, trading around $13.70 at the time of writing on Tuesday, holding above a key support zone. Growing ecosystem activity from declining exchange reserves to a wave of new integrations continues to strengthen the network’s fundamental outlook.