|

A 50bps March Fed rate hike is warranted – Bloomberg Economics

A 50-basis point (bps) interest rate hike is warranted at the Fed’s March meeting, Anna Wong, Chief US Economist for Bloomberg Economics said on Wednesday.

“Our in-house model of a Fed reaction function -- the Bloomberg Economics rule ("BE rule") -- suggests that a 50 basis-point rate hike at the March meeting is warranted, followed by another five 25 basis-point rate hikes the rest of the year,” she explained.

Amid increased speculation the Fed will deliver more than a 25-bps rate hike in March, the US Treasury yields skyrocketed on Tuesday amid a meltdown in the government bond yields.

The benchmark 10-year yields rose to the highest level since January 2020 at 1.89% in early Asian dealings, currently trading at 1.882%, still up 0.77% on the day.

Author

Dhwani Mehta

Dhwani Mehta

FXStreet

Residing in Mumbai (India), Dhwani is a Senior Analyst and Manager of the Asian session at FXStreet. She has over 10 years of experience in analyzing and covering the global financial markets, with specialization in Forex and commodities markets.

More from Dhwani Mehta
Share:

Editor's Picks

GBP/USD breaches below 1.3500, two-day lows

GBP/USD faces renewed selling pressure, eroding the earlier advance and slipping back to the sub-1.3500 region on Wednesday. Cable’s loss of upside momentum follows the resurgence of the demand for the Greenback amid steady geopolitical tensions. Looking ahead, the British Pound is expected to remain under scrutiny in light of the release of UK GDP data on Thursday.

EUR/USD weakens to multi-day lows near 1.1520

EUR/USD makes a U-turn and trades with decent losses near 1.1520 following the closing bell on Wall Street on Wednesday. The US Dollar’s recovery post-US CPI data keeps the risk complex under pressure in a context where geopolitics takes centre stage once again. Moving forward, attention remains on US inflation with the release of Producer Prices alongside weekly Claims.

Gold clings to 100-day SMA, with upside risks intact

Gold is reverting to the $4,400 level in Asia on Thursday after facing rejection at $4,450 or fresh ten-week highs earlier in the session. Attention now turns to the US Producer Price Index data for more signs of cooling inflation, particularly after a mild US Consumer Price Index report.

Bitcoin faces thin liquidity and missing demand amid seller stress — Glassnode
Bitcoin (BTC) is showing signs of growing market exhaustion, with weakening liquidity and subdued demand leaving the market vulnerable to a sharp move, according to a Glassnode report on Wednesday. The firm stated that Bitcoin is trading between two important cost-basis levels as market activity has fallen to its lowest point since 2019.
Why is Crude Oil priced for a reopening the ships haven't made?

Fourteen vessels crossed the Strait of Hormuz on Tuesday. Before the war, the count ran near 120 a day. In the sessions since the waterway was publicly declared open, Brent has drifted back to $87 and West Texas Intermediate to $81, both a little lower again on Wednesday, with daily momentum on each unwound from the top of its range in late July to the low twenties now.

Why is Crude Oil priced for a reopening the ships haven't made?
Fourteen vessels crossed the Strait of Hormuz on Tuesday. Before the war, the count ran near 120 a day. In the sessions since the waterway was publicly declared open, Brent has drifted back to $87 and West Texas Intermediate (WTI) to $81, both a little lower again on Wednesday, with daily momentum on each unwound from the top of its range in late July to the low twenties now.