|

XRP begins short squeeze as bear trap to return Ripple to $1

  • XRP price action develops an effective bear trap.
  • Short sellers and weak hands will experience some significant pain as XRP rallies.
  • Extremely bullish Point and Figure pattern present a 6:1 reward/risk setup.

XRP price has experienced some major selling over the past six trading days. Sellers have promptly sold off  Ripple upon hitting the $1 level, pushing XRP lower by as much as 20%. However, the bearish price action has developed into a powerful buying opportunity.

XRP price to rally more than 30% to the $1 value area

XRP price is currently testing the neckline breakout from a previous head-and-shoulders pattern on the $0.01/3-box reversal Point and Figure chart. The Point and Figure pattern that has developed is a Spike Pattern. The Spike Pattern is an aggressive reversal strategy with an entry immediately on the 3-box reversal of the current O-column.

The theoretical trade setup for XRP price is a buy stop order at $0.86, a 4-box stop loss at $0.82, and a profit target at $1.10. This trade setup represents a 6:1 reward for the risk. In addition, a two to three-box trailing stop would help protect any implied profit post entry.

The buy stop order is at $0.86 at the time of publication, but the current O-column could move lower. If that occurs, then the entry and the stop loss also move lower. For example, if XRP price moves three more Os lower to $0.79, the buy stop order would shift to $0.82 and the stop loss to $0.79. The profit target remains the same.

XRP/USDT $0.01/3-box Reversal Point and Figure Chart

There is no invalidation setup for the theoretical long trade setup. By their very nature, Spike Patterns have no known low or high until a reversal occurs. Diligent traders should anticipate resistance or momentum slowing when XRP price retraces roughly 50% of the O-column.

Author

Jonathan Morgan

Jonathan Morgan

Independent Analyst

Jonathan has been working as an Independent future, forex, and cryptocurrency trader and analyst for 8 years. He also has been writing for the past 5 years.

More from Jonathan Morgan
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

Crypto market outlook for 2026

Year 2025 was volatile, as crypto often is.  Among positive catalysts were favourable regulatory changes in the U.S., rise of Digital Asset Treasuries (DAT), adoption of AI and tokenization of Real-World-Assets (RWA).

Sberbank issues Russia's first corporate loan backed by Bitcoin

Russia's largest bank Sberbank launched the country's first Bitcoin-backed corporate loan to miner Intelion Data. The pilot deal uses cryptocurrency as collateral through Sberbank's proprietary Rutoken custody solution.

Bitcoin recovers to $87,000 as retail optimism offsets steady ETF outflows

Bitcoin (BTC) trades above $88,000 at press time on Tuesday, following a rejection at $90,000 the previous day. Institutional support remains mixed amid steady outflow from US spot BTC Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs) and Strategy Inc.’s acquisition of 1,229 BTC last week.

Traders split over whether lighter’s LIT clears $3 billion FDV after launch

Lighter’s LIT token has not yet begun open trading, but the market has already drawn a sharp line around its valuation after Tuesday's airdrop.

Orange Juice Newsletter – Smart insights by real people. Every day.

A free newsletter highlighting key market trends to help traders stay a step ahead. Daily insights on the most relevant trading topics, compiled by our experts in an easy-to-read format so you never miss an important move.

Bitcoin: Fed delivers, yet fails to impress BTC traders

Bitcoin (BTC) continues de trade within the recent consolidation phase, hovering around $92,000 at the time of writing on Friday, as investors digest the Federal Reserve’s (Fed) cautious December rate cut and its implications for risk assets.