|

XLM Price Prediction: Stellar edges closer to 20% gains

  • XLM price is on the verge of a breakout as it approaches a critical supply barrier.
  • Stellar is traversing a symmetrical triangle pattern, hinting at a quick 20% upswing.
  • A long-term outlook reveals XLM could surge 120% to hit $1 under exceptional circumstances.

The XLM price is meandering inside a technical pattern vying to slice through the barrier present ahead.

XLM price gears up for higher high

The XLM price reveals a symmetrical triangle pattern when the multiple lower highs and higher lows since January 27 are connected using trend lines. This technical formation forecasts a 62% move after successful confirmation of a breakout.

For now, Stellar looks primed after a bounce from the 50-day Simple Moving Average (SMA). If the bullish momentum persists, the XLM price could produce a decisive close above the immediate supply barrier at $0.50, coinciding with the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement level.

Following this, the remittances token could pierce the technical formation’s upper trend line at $0.54. This move would signal the start of a bullish wave. If a spike in buying pressure ensues, the XLM price could surge 25% toward the first breakout line at $0.67, set up by the Momentum Reversal Indicator (MRI).

Subsequent areas of interest include the 127.2% and the 141.4% Fibonacci extension levels at $0.74 and $0.81, respectively. Clearing these levels might open up the path to the intended target at $0.87.

XLM/USD 1-day chart

XLM/USD 1-day chart

A different perspective on the bullish outlook for Stellar can be seen in the chart below. From late November 2020 to date, the XLM price has installed three higher highs and two lower lows.

An ascending parallel channel is revealed when the swing points are connected using trend lines. Interestingly, each bounce from the lower trend line that sets up the next swing high sees a 200% uptrend. The retracement that follows after reaching the upper trend line averages around 45%.

Since the XLM price has already retraced 45% from the recent highs at $0.60, the logical thing to expect here would be a massive blast off. If something similar were to happen, the remittances token could surge 120% to hit the $1 mark.

XLM/USD 1-day chart

XLM/USD 1-day chart

Stellar’s bearish scenario could evolve if the symmetrical triangle’s lower trend line at $0.37 is breached. In this case, the XLM price could decline 11% toward the MRI State Trend Support at $0.33.

If the sellers push the cryptocurrency beyond $0.33 for an extended period, it would solidify the bearish outlook and open up the altcoin for more downside.

Author

Akash Girimath

Akash Girimath is a Mechanical Engineer interested in the chaos of the financial markets. Trying to make sense of this convoluted yet fascinating space, he switched his engineering job to become a crypto reporter and analyst.

More from Akash Girimath
Share:

Editor's Picks

Crypto Today: Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP trade under sustained selling pressure despite mild ETF inflows

Cryptocurrency prices remain under pressure as a risk-off mood persists on Friday, with Bitcoin consolidating its losses above $62,000. Altcoins, including Ethereum and Ripple, are extending their weakness, trading near lower support levels around $1,600 and $1.12, respectively.

Bitcoin Weekly Forecast: After the bloodbath, everyone looks at $60,000

Bitcoin (BTC) hovers above $62,000 at the time of writing on Friday, weighed down by growing risk-off sentiment due to persistent geopolitical tensions in the Middle East and sticky macroeconomic uncertainty.

Cardano hits five-year low even as Hoskinson clarifies "break" isn't an exit

Cardano price is down 10% at press time on Friday, extending losses over 30% so far this week amid Charles Hoskinson's clarification that "break" isn't an exit. A reactionary spike in on-chain activity and social chatter, reflecting a strength of community, but fails to absorb the price decline.

Arthur Hayes' “Holy Trinity” is dead: Exits Zcash after Orchard Pool exploit

Arthur Hayes dumped his entire Zcash holdings on Friday, a day after selling his HYPE and NEAR holdings. Zcash is down 13% so far on Friday, extending the 26% drop from the previous day.

Bitcoin: After the bloodbath, everyone looks at $60,000
Bitcoin (BTC) hovers above $62,000 at the time of writing on Friday, weighed down by growing risk-off sentiment due to persistent geopolitical tensions in the Middle East and sticky macroeconomic uncertainty. The institutional sell-off continued to wreak havoc on capital flows, with spot Bitcoin Exchange-Traded Funds (ETFs) recording billions in outflows.