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VeChain Price Prediction: Will the third bounce restart the rally?

  • VeChain price has risen 4% after falling 12% from the year-to-date high. 
  • Currently, VET is showing potential for a 16% downswing in the short term.
  • The bearish thesis would be invalidated from a breach above $0.026.

 VeChain price is displaying auction market behavior that should be closely watched. Key levels have been identified to determine when VET may create a profitable trading opportunity.

Vechain price is setting up a move

VeChain price is attempting to change the bearish narrative that has recently entered the market. On February 14, the digital currency token was up 4%. Earlier this month, the bears produced a bearish candle beneath the 8-day exponential moving average and 21-day simple moving average. The bulls have failed to retake the barrier during two previous counter-trend attempts.

VeChain is currently trading at $0.023, the third time in less than a week that the bulls are engaging with the $0.024 level where the moving averages are resting. There is a potential that the bulls will reclaim the boundary, but the barrier is currently acting as resistance. If this remains, it could lead to another 12% downswing, targeting $0.020 in the short term. This downswing move would challenge the support near the ascending trend line that catalyzed VET's 75% winter rally.

Invalidation of the bearish thesis would occur if the bulls can reclaim the $0.028 level. Not only will they have to breach the level, but they should also produce a daily candlestick close above the barrier to confirm that the downtrend is over. If this happens, the bulls could reestablish the liquidity hunt towards the $0.028 level, resulting in a 20% increase from VeChain's current price.

Author

Tony M.

Tony M.

FXStreet Contributor

Tony Montpeirous began investing in cryptocurrencies in 2017. His trading style incorporates Elliot Wave, Auction Market Theory, Fibonacci and price action as the cornerstone of his technical analysis.

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