Jonathan Morgan
Independent Analyst
- VeChain price pulls back after -25% drop.
- Bears take profit, and bulls look for some reprieve from massive losses.
- A massive gap between the close and daily Tenkan-Sen indicates a mean reversion trade was likely.
VeChain price has found a bit of a bounce during the Wednesday trading session, gaining up to +8.5% from the open. Bulls no doubt feel some relief and a reprieve from the violent downswings for VeChain. The bounce, however, is likely temporary and limited in scale.
VeChain price likely to move higher to face significant resistance at $0.10; bears to resume pressure and move VeChain below $0.08
VeChain price has made some impressive downside moves since Monday, dropping over -25% to hit the bear’s target zone at $0.08. The resulting drop has placed VeChain into an inherently bearish position within the Ichimoku system by positioning the daily close below the Tenkan-Sen, Kijun-Sen and Cloud. However, the speed and size of the drop have created a significant gap between the close and the Tenkan-Sen.
Major gaps between price action and the Tenkan-Sen do not last very long within the Ichimoku system. This is because veChain price and the Tenkan-Sen like to be positioned relatively close to one another. So when a large gap does occur, that creates a trading opportunity known as a mean reversion setup. In other words, price is expected to return to the Tenkan-Sen.
The bullish bounce here is expected but will likely be capped at the $0.10 area. VeChain price has some significant resistance at the $0.10:
- Bottom of the Ichimoku Cloud (Senkou Span B).
- 50% Fibonacci retracement.
- 61.8% Fibonacci expansion.
- The Tenkan-Sen.
VET/USDT Daily Ichimoku Chart
Bears will likely return to place more selling pressure on VeChain price if $0.10 is confirmed as resistance. However, bulls have a long road ahead to invalidate any near-term bearish pressure. First, bulls will need to push VeChain to a close above $0.13 to return to an undeniable bull market.
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