A Bitcoin (BTC) price metric which made BTC “look seriously cheap” at $56,000 is now in rare oversold territory.
In a tweet on Dec. 6, Philip Swift, Philip Swift, creator of analytics platform LookIntoBitcoin, returned to potentially bullish signals coming from Bitcoin’s Advanced NVT Signal.
Advanced NVT deflates in Bitcoin price rout
Advanced NVT calculates whether Bitcoin is overbought or oversold at a certain price point using market capitalization and network volume.
In late November, when BTC/USD had already fallen to $56,000, Swift suggested that a bounce was due.
The metric subsequently continued to fall in line with spot price thanks to last Friday’s liquidation cascade. A possible plus, however, lies in the return of “oversold” cues from NVT — something which has only occurred six times since 2015.
“A lot of fear in the market currently, which makes me bullish. Lots of indicators suggest we are near a bottom,” he said.
“Advanced NVT Signal looks at price relative to onchain transactions. It has only been this oversold a few times before, each time resulting in a strong bounce.”
Bitcoin advanced NVT signal annotated chart. Source: Philip Swift/ Twitter
The strength of such a bounce nonetheless may have already faded, with Bitcoin reversing after around 6% overnight gains to $51,500 on Bitstamp.
Trader to BTC buyers: Wait a week to "avoid chop"
At press time, $51,000 formed a focus, amid heavy indications from commentators that fresh downside could soon enter.
“Buy in low to mid 40's. Not get trapped,” trader and analyst Pentoshi advised Twitter followers.
As Cointelegraph reported Monday, meanwhile, there are plenty of reasons to separate spot price action from underlying strength in Bitcoin.
Among them is all-time high hash rate, along with a broad lack of selling — smaller hodlers, by contrast, have been adding to their positions throughout the past week.
Only whales appear to be hedging their bets, as evidenced by exchange flow data.
Information on these pages contains forward-looking statements that involve risks and uncertainties. Markets and instruments profiled on this page are for informational purposes only and should not in any way come across as a recommendation to buy or sell in these assets. You should do your own thorough research before making any investment decisions. FXStreet does not in any way guarantee that this information is free from mistakes, errors, or material misstatements. It also does not guarantee that this information is of a timely nature. Investing in Open Markets involves a great deal of risk, including the loss of all or a portion of your investment, as well as emotional distress. All risks, losses and costs associated with investing, including total loss of principal, are your responsibility. The views and opinions expressed in this article are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the official policy or position of FXStreet nor its advertisers.
Recommended Content
Editors’ Picks
Ethereum dips slightly amid Renzo depeg, BlackRock spot ETH ETF amendment
Ethereum (ETH) suffered a brief decline on Wednesday afternoon despite increased accumulation from whales. This follows Ethereum restaking protocol Renzo restaked ETH (ezETH) crashing from its 1:1 peg with ETH and increased activities surrounding spot Ethereum ETFs.
Injective price weakness persists despite over 5.9 million INJ tokens burned
Injective (INJ) price is trading with a bearish bias, stuck in the lower section of the market range. The bearish outlook abounds despite the network's deflationary efforts to pump the price. Coupled with broader market gloom, INJ token’s doomed days may not be over yet.
US intensifies battle against crypto privacy protocols following crackdown on Samourai Wallet
CEO Keonne Rodriguez and CTO William Lonergan of Samourai Wallet were arrested by the US Department of Justice (DoJ) on Wednesday and charged with $100 million in money laundering on a count and illegal money transmitting on another count. This move could see privacy-focused cryptocurrencies take a dip.
Near Protocol Price Prediction: NEAR fulfills targets but a 10% correction may be on the horizon
Near Protocol price has completed a 55% mean reversal from the bottom of the market range at $4.27. Amid growing bearish activity, NEAR could drop 10% to the $6.00 psychological level before a potential recovery. A break and close above $7.95 would invalidate the downleg thesis.
Bitcoin: BTC post-halving rally could be partially priced in Premium
Bitcoin (BTC) price briefly slipped below the $60,000 level for the last three days, attracting buyers in this area as the fourth BTC halving is due in a few hours. Is the halving priced in for Bitcoin? Or will the pioneer crypto note more gains in the coming days?