|

This best-case scenario for Litecoin price forecasts a 20% drop

  • Litecoin price has broken down out of the bear flag formation identified last week, suggesting the start of a downtrend. 
  • Although theoretical forecasting methods hint at a 64% nosedive, investors can expect stabilization after a 20% crash. 
  • If LTC produces a daily candlestick close above $64.43, it will invalidate the bearish thesis.

Litecoin price action over the last few weeks paints a bearish picture, as discussed in our previous article. Since then, LTC has triggered a breakout and is likely to continue heading lower.

Litecoin price and potential plays

Litecoin price created a bear flag setup, which is a bearish continuation pattern. This technical formation contains a massive sell-off that looks like a flagpole and is often followed by a tight consolidation that resembles a flag.

In the case of Litecoin the setup forecasts a 64% downswing in LTC price to $19.74, determined by adding the height of the flagpole to the breakout point at $55.03. 

Since Litecoin price broke out of the flag on September 16, it has dropped nearly 7% and is currently hovering at $52. Going forward, investors need to pay close attention to market influencer Bitcoin’s price for clues as to what might happen to LTC, which is also looking ready for a quick correction.

Although the bear flag forecasts a 64% crash, a nosedive of this extent is unlikely to happen without Bitcoin falling equally hard. Hence, as things stand, investors should prepare for a more moderate 20% crash to $41.66 instead.

LTC/USDT 1-day chart

LTC/USDT 1-day chart

While things are looking bearish for Litecoin price, this could change if Bitcoin price triggers a premature run-up. In such a case, if LTC produces a daily candlestick close above $64.43, it will invalidate the bearish thesis.

This development from Litecoin price could see it climb higher and a retest of the range high at $74.47.

Note:

The video attached below talks about Bitcoin price and its potential outlook, however, this is still relevant as it is likely to influence Litecoin price.

Author

Akash Girimath

Akash Girimath is a Mechanical Engineer interested in the chaos of the financial markets. Trying to make sense of this convoluted yet fascinating space, he switched his engineering job to become a crypto reporter and analyst.

More from Akash Girimath
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

Ripple holds $1.82 support as low retail demand weighs on the token

Ripple (XRP) is trading between a key support at $1.82 and resistance at $2.00 at the time of writing on Thursday, reflecting the lethargic sentiment in the broader cryptocurrency market.

Aster declines for fifth straight day despite buyback efforts

Aster trades under intense selling pressure, recording 3% loss at press time on Thursday. The perpetual-focused exchange resumed its Stage 4 buyback program on Wednesday and currently holds almost 52 million ASTER tokens.

Crypto Today: Bitcoin, Ethereum hold steady while XRP slides amid mixed ETF flows

Bitcoin eyes short-term breakout above $87,000, underpinned by a significant increase in ETF inflows. Ethereum defends support around $2,800 as mild ETF outflows suppress its recovery. XRP holds above at $1.82 amid bearish technical signals and persistent inflows into ETFs.

Bitcoin steadies near $87,000 as strong ETF inflows offset bearish pressure

Bitcoin is attempting to stabilize, holding near $87,000 on Thursday after this week’s pullback. Institutional demand shows signs of optimism, as US-listed spot Bitcoin Exchange-Traded Funds (ETFs) recorded fresh inflows of over $457 million on Wednesday.

Orange Juice Newsletter – Smart insights by real people. Every day.

A free newsletter highlighting key market trends to help traders stay a step ahead. Daily insights on the most relevant trading topics, compiled by our experts in an easy-to-read format so you never miss an important move.

Bitcoin: Fed delivers, yet fails to impress BTC traders

Bitcoin (BTC) continues de trade within the recent consolidation phase, hovering around $92,000 at the time of writing on Friday, as investors digest the Federal Reserve’s (Fed) cautious December rate cut and its implications for risk assets.