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Ripple Price Prediction: Risk-on sentiment returns as XRP eyes breakout to $3

  • XRP regains momentum above $2 as Bitcoin recovers past $87,000 during the Asian session on Monday.
  • Coinbase Derivatives’ XRP futures could start trading on Monday, potentially driving institutional adoption and trading volume.
  • The MACD validates a buy signal, and the RSI reinforces the bullish momentum. 
  • Downside risks at $2 remain, and if volatility spikes, XRP price could extend losses to $1.96 before $1.62.

Ripple (XRP) edges higher on Monday, climbing 1.54% on the day to trade at $2.11 at the time of writing. Buyers continued to buy the token despite the drawdowns in April, showing resilience and determination in upholding XRP above the $2.00 level. Several factors that could be contributing to the token’s bullish momentum include the launch of XRP futures trading by Coinbase Derivatives and a spike in open interest. With technical indicators flashing buy signals amid an improving sentiment across the crypto market, XRP price would be poised for a breakout targeting $3.00.

The largest cryptocurrency by market capitalization, Bitcoin (BTC), steadied movement during the Easter weekend, which continued on Monday with a 2.71% daily increase to $87,440. Ethereum (ETH) responded to the improving outlook, climbing 3% to $1,636, while Solana (SOL) broke above $140 resistance at the time of writing.

According to Alternative.me, the fear and greed index is regaining momentum at 39, indicating a significant jump from the extreme fear conditions witnessed ahead of United States (US) President Donald Trump’s reciprocal tariffs on April 9. In addition to the 90-day tariffs’ pause, various factors encourage risk-on sentiment, such as oversold conditions and an improving regulatory environment in the US.

The fear & greed index | Source: Alternative.com

Coinbase Derivatives’ XRP futures could launch on Monday

Coinbase Derivatives, a subsidiary of Coinbase cryptocurrency exchange, could launch XRP futures contracts trading on Monday. As FXStreet reported, Coinbase Institution announced on April 4 that Coinbase Derivatives had filed with the Commodities Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) to “self-certify” XRP futures.

If approved, the development would support institutional adoption of XRP, ensuring investors have access to a regulated instrument to one of the industry’s most liquid digital assets. 

Coinbase Derivatives expects to kick off XRP futures trading on Monday, with more information regarding launch timelines and availability provided to investors beforehand.

Coinglass data on XRP derivatives suggests sentiment is improving, which may elevate the digital asset to higher levels in the coming days. A 3% increase in the open interest to $3.24 billion suggests that new capital is entering the derivatives market due to growing trader interest or confidence in the direction of the XRP price. 

XRP derivatives data | Source: Coinglass

Similarly, declining liquidations to $3.81 million in the last 24 hours implies that fewer traders are being wiped out, which may result in lower short-term volatility. For traders, this could mean a stable environment to hold positions longer, anticipating further price action in the same direction.

Can XRP bulls shape the trend to $3?

XRP stabilized at the time of writing on Monday after support at $2.00 reduced downside risks during the weekend, calling traders to seek exposure to the cross-border money remittance token. A buy signal from the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator alongside the green histograms affirms the bullish outlook. 

Moreover, conservative traders may wait until the MACD indicator crosses above the center line before going all in on XRP. However, it is worth noting that the Relative Strength Index (RSI) has recently broken the descending trendline resistance, hinting at a change of guard in favor of the bulls.

Traders may want to pay attention to other key levels, including the resistance posed by the 50-day and 100-day Exponential Moving Averages (EMA) around $2.22, support at $2.00 and the 200-day EMA at $1.96. Breaking the two hurdles would culminate in a path with the least resistance towards $3.00.

XRP/USD daily chart

On the other hand, losing support at $2.00 could accelerate losses to the 200-day EMA at $1.96. XRP price may drop to retest April’s lowest level at $1.62 in case of heightened volatility, triggering liquidations and profit-taking.

Cryptocurrency prices FAQs

Token launches influence demand and adoption among market participants. Listings on crypto exchanges deepen the liquidity for an asset and add new participants to an asset’s network. This is typically bullish for a digital asset.

A hack is an event in which an attacker captures a large volume of the asset from a DeFi bridge or hot wallet of an exchange or any other crypto platform via exploits, bugs or other methods. The exploiter then transfers these tokens out of the exchange platforms to ultimately sell or swap the assets for other cryptocurrencies or stablecoins. Such events often involve an en masse panic triggering a sell-off in the affected assets.

Macroeconomic events like the US Federal Reserve’s decision on interest rates influence crypto assets mainly through the direct impact they have on the US Dollar. An increase in interest rate typically negatively influences Bitcoin and altcoin prices, and vice versa. If the US Dollar index declines, risk assets and associated leverage for trading gets cheaper, in turn driving crypto prices higher.

Halvings are typically considered bullish events as they slash the block reward in half for miners, constricting the supply of the asset. At consistent demand if the supply reduces, the asset’s price climbs.

Author

John Isige

John Isige

FXStreet

John Isige is a seasoned cryptocurrency journalist and markets analyst committed to delivering high-quality, actionable insights tailored to traders, investors, and crypto enthusiasts. He enjoys deep dives into emerging Web3 tren

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