|

Ethereum Price Forecast: ETH retest $4,000 as its funding rates flips negative

Ethereum price today: $4,150

  • Ethereum funding rates have declined considerably, flashing negative for the second time over the past week.
  • Ethereum ETFs have recorded two consecutive days of outflows, totalling $216 million.
  • ETH continues to test the $4,000 support following its weak performance below the 20 and 50-day SMAs.

Ethereum (ETH) bounced off the $4,000 support on Wednesday as its funding rates flipped negative amid steady outflows in ETFs tracking its price.

ETH funding rates indicate rising short positioning

Ethereum funding rates turned negative on Wednesday, marking the second time this week, after flashing red on Monday following the large leverage flush.

The top altcoin's funding rates declined to -0.0021 over the past 24 hours, marking a deeper decline than that of Monday.

ETH Funding Rates. Source: CryptoQuant

Funding rates are periodic fees between perpetual futures traders, to keep a contract's price closely aligned to the spot price of the underlying asset it tracks. Negative funding rates occur when a contract trades below the spot price of its underlying asset, implying a dominant bearish sentiment as short position holders pay long position holders.

The steady decline in ETH funding rates over the past week suggests that bearish positioning is increasing among futures traders, a clear divergence from the market sentiments expressed in August. Historically, negative funding rates can either indicate a potential market bottom triggering a short squeeze or fuel a period of lagging prices.

A bearish sentiment is also evident in US spot Ethereum exchange-traded funds (ETFs), which have recorded two consecutive days of net outflows totalling $216.7 million, according to SoSoValue data. This suggests that institutional investors are also becoming cautious in the wake of the recent surge in leverage.

Corporate ETH treasuries, apart from BitMine Immersion (BMNR), have also seen very minimal action in the past few weeks, with no notable buy-side activity. However, BitMine's steady accumulation has managed to boost interest in ETH treasuries. The firm added over 264,000 ETH to its holdings last week.

Ethereum Price Forecast: ETH continues testing $4,000 support

Ethereum saw $62 million in futures liquidations over the past 24 hours, with long liquidations accounting for $38.9 million 

ETH retested the support near the $4,000 psychological level as it continues trading below the 20-day and 50-day Simple Moving Averages (SMA). A decline below $4,000 could see the top altcoin bounce off the 100-day SMA around $3,700. However, a reclaim of the $4,500 level could push ETH to rest its all-time high resistance established on August 24.

ETH/USDT daily chart

The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is below its neutral level while the Stochastic Oscillator (Stoch) has entered its oversold region, indicating a dominant bearish momentum.

Author

Michael Ebiekutan

With a deep passion for web3 technology, he's collaborated with industry-leading brands like Mara, ITAK, and FXStreet in delivering groundbreaking reports on web3's transformative potential across diverse sectors. In addi

More from Michael Ebiekutan
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

Hyperliquid price forecast: Bullish interest builds amid user recovery

Hyperliquid (HYPE) trades at $25 at press time on Monday, holding the 3% gains from the previous day. The perpetual exchange sees a recovery in active users, while weekly fees collected decline to the lowest level so far this month.

Top 3 Price Prediction: Bitcoin, Ethereum, Ripple eye breakout for fresh recovery

Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Ripple are approaching key technical levels on Monday as the broader crypto market stabilizes. Market participants are closely watching whether BTC, ETH, and XRP can sustain breakouts and achieve decisive daily closes above nearby resistance levels.

Top Crypto Gainers: Audiera, Midnight, MemeCore sustain weekend gains

Audiera (BEAT), Midnight (NIGHT), and MemeCore (M) recorded double-digit gains on Sunday and remain top performers over the last 24 hours. Audiera extends the rally while Midnight takes a breather, and MemeCore struggles at a crucial moving average. 

Cardano Price Forecast: ADA suffers from $900 million loss realization as prices bounce near $0.34

Loss realization among Cardano (ADA) holders increased sharply in December, marking one of its heaviest capitulation months since 2023. Since the beginning of the month, investors have realized over $900 million in losses as of Friday.

Orange Juice Newsletter – Smart insights by real people. Every day.

A free newsletter highlighting key market trends to help traders stay a step ahead. Daily insights on the most relevant trading topics, compiled by our experts in an easy-to-read format so you never miss an important move.

Bitcoin: Fed delivers, yet fails to impress BTC traders

Bitcoin (BTC) continues de trade within the recent consolidation phase, hovering around $92,000 at the time of writing on Friday, as investors digest the Federal Reserve’s (Fed) cautious December rate cut and its implications for risk assets.