|

Downside risk for Cardano limited to $1.60 as ADA struggles to find support

  • Cardano price continues to underperform the broader cryptocurrency market.
  • Twelfth week in a row in the current downtrend.
  • Massive bear trap developing on the daily chart.

Cardano price has consistently failed to find buyers at any support zones on the daily chart despite prime conditions. However, that behavior may soon change as one of Cardano’s oscillators has hit a new all-time low.

Cardano price action to surprise the entire cryptocurrency market with a massive spike higher

Cardano price on its daily Ichimoku chart is overwhelmingly bearish. Every condition required for an Ideal Bearish Ichimoku Breakout is present on the daily chart:

  1. Future Senkou Span A below Future Senkou Span B
  2. The current close is below the Cloud (below Senkou Span A and Senkou Span B)
  3. The current close is below the Tenkan-Sen and Kijun-Sen.
  4. The Chikou Span is below the candlesticks and in open space (won’t intercept the body of any candlesticks over the next five to ten periods).

However, two variables show Cardano price could experience an imminent, massive, bullish reversal. The first variable is the extensive gap between the bodies of the daily candlesticks and the Tenkan-Sen. The second, and most important, is the current value of the Composite Index.

Cardano’s Composite Index on the daily chart made history today when it dropped to -23.6.

Daily Composite Index

The -23.6 value is a new historical all-time low in the Composite Index. The new all-time low positions Cardano’s daily chart into an explosive hidden bullish divergence setup. The word ‘volatility’ may not be sufficient to describe the price action that may occur over the next five to seven trading days. A flash-spike to the $3.00 range is likely.

ADA/USD Daily Ichimoku Chart

Despite the hidden bullish divergence that could play out, there remain immediate downside risks. There is no Ichimoku support for Cardano price on the daily Ichimoku chart or the weekly Ichimoku chart. The only support that now exists is the Kijun-Sen on the three-week Ichimoku chart at $1.60.

Author

Jonathan Morgan

Jonathan Morgan

Independent Analyst

Jonathan has been working as an Independent future, forex, and cryptocurrency trader and analyst for 8 years. He also has been writing for the past 5 years.

More from Jonathan Morgan
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

XRP rebounds amid ETF inflows and declining retail demand demand

XRP rebounds as bulls target a short-term breakout above $2.00 on Friday. XRP ETFs record the highest inflow since December 8, signaling growing institutional appetite.

Bitcoin Price Annual Forecast: BTC holds long-term bullish structure heading into 2026

Bitcoin (BTC) is wrapping up 2025 as one of its most eventful years, defined by unprecedented institutional participation, major regulatory developments, and extreme price volatility.

World Liberty Financial recovers as community votes to unlock treasury funds for USD1 adoption

World Liberty Financial recovers over 3% on Friday, holding ground at a key support trendline. Community begins voting to unlock roughly 5% WLFI treasury funds to incentivize USD1 stablecoin adoption.

Crypto Today: Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP rebound amid bearish market conditions

Bitcoin (BTC) is edging higher, trading above $88,000 at the time of writing on Monday. Altcoins, including Ethereum (ETH) and Ripple (XRP), are following in BTC’s footsteps, experiencing relief rebounds following a volatile week.

Orange Juice Newsletter – Smart insights by real people. Every day.

A free newsletter highlighting key market trends to help traders stay a step ahead. Daily insights on the most relevant trading topics, compiled by our experts in an easy-to-read format so you never miss an important move.

Bitcoin: Fed delivers, yet fails to impress BTC traders

Bitcoin (BTC) continues de trade within the recent consolidation phase, hovering around $92,000 at the time of writing on Friday, as investors digest the Federal Reserve’s (Fed) cautious December rate cut and its implications for risk assets.