Chiliz Price Forecast: CHZ recovers amid whale accumulation

Chiliz (CHZ) ticks higher by over 3% at press time on Thursday after a two-day pullback, extending the prevailing upward trend. Demand for the CHZ token among large wallet investors, commonly referred to as whales, has increased this year. The technical outlook for Chiliz remains mixed as it approaches a key resistance level that has been capping the upside in January, following a 40% rise in December.

Whales' interest spikes ahead of the FIFA World Cup 2026

During the 2022 World Cup, the launch of multiple Fan tokens and official Non-Fungible Tokens (NFTs) expanded Chiliz’s ecosystem, boosting the value of its CHZ token. The sport-focused blockchain network regains strength as the FIFA World Cup returns to the US in June, potentially boosting US investors' participation in Chiliz’s ecosystem in the upcoming months. 

On-chain data shows that whales are accumulating CHZ tokens, overlooking the 48% decline last year, which marked the fourth consecutive bearish year. Investors with 100 million to 1 billion CHZ have increased exposure to 5.23% of the on-chain supply, from 3.84% on January 1. Meanwhile, the larger cohort with over 1 billion CHZ tokens steadies its exposure at 65.12%, a rather silent signal of confidence. 

Chiliz recovery hits a crossroads below the $0.5000 psychological level

Chiliz approaches the $0.04635 resistance level, last tested on Monday, which has capped the price since late July. If CHZ exceeds $0.04635, it could target the $0.05000 psychological level.

Corroborating the upside potential, the 50-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) crosses above the 100-day EMA, triggering a Golden Cross as the short-term recovery gathers strength.

However, the technical indicators on the daily chart suggest a weakening in CHZ recovery. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is at 66 after exiting overbought conditions, suggesting fading bullish momentum. At the same time, the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) risks crossing below the signal line, which would trigger a sell signal. 

If CHZ reverses from $0.04635, the 20-day and 200-day EMAs at $0.04031 and $0.03825, respectively, could serve as dynamic support levels.