|

Cardano Price Prediction: ADA remains indecisive

  • Cardano price shoots up roughly 20% in under 12 hours and as it approaches the 200 six-hour SMA at $1.458.
  • An uptrend seems likely if ADA produces a six-hour candlestick close above $1.458.
  • Rejection at $1.458 might trigger a 30% downswing to $1.01.

Cardano price has seen a healthy uptick over the past 24 hours but is currently hovering under a critical resistance level. Therefore, ADA shows no bias. A clear trend will establish after the so-called “Ethereum-killer” breaks past the supply barrier or gets rejected by it.

Cardano price at crossroads

Cardano price is trading at $1.454 after a 37% upswing over the past 18 hours. The 200 six-hour Simple Moving Average (SMA) at $1.458 supplies overhead pressure, preventing the bulls from rising higher. Despite its bullish rally, ADA needs to slice through this barrier to establish a proper trend.

Assuming a potential spike in buying pressure that produces a decisive close above $1.458, investors can expect the so-called “Ethereum-killer” to rally 13% to tag the 100 six-hour SMA at $1.656, which is in the proximity of the resistance level at $1.692.

If the buyers continue to bid, Cardano price could rise another 7% to test the 50 six-hour SMA at $1.809.

ADA/USDT 6-hour chart

ADA/USDT 6-hour chart

Adding credence to this optimistic narrative is the stacked support levels portrayed by IntoTheBlock’s Global In/Out of the Money (GIOM) model. Roughly 334,000 addresses that previously purchased nearly 6.5 billion ADA are present at $1.32. Therefore, short-term selling pressure is unlikely to push through these investors.

In fact, these holders might add to their holdings if Cardano price comes to this level, dampening the bearish momentum.

ADA GIOM chart

ADA GIOM chart

Despite the bullish narratives explained above, a sudden spike in ask orders could easily cut through the support levels detailed above. Moreover, rejection around the 200 six-hour SMA signals weak buying pressure. 

In that case, slicing through $1.32 will put the investors in this area “Out of the Money.” If these holders sell, it will add to the bearish momentum and confirm the start of a new downtrend. Under these bearish circumstances, ADA could slide 23% to tag the swing low created on May 19 at $1.01.

Author

Akash Girimath

Akash Girimath is a Mechanical Engineer interested in the chaos of the financial markets. Trying to make sense of this convoluted yet fascinating space, he switched his engineering job to become a crypto reporter and analyst.

More from Akash Girimath
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

XRP rebounds amid ETF inflows and declining retail demand demand

XRP rebounds as bulls target a short-term breakout above $2.00 on Friday. XRP ETFs record the highest inflow since December 8, signaling growing institutional appetite.

Bitcoin Price Annual Forecast: BTC holds long-term bullish structure heading into 2026

Bitcoin (BTC) is wrapping up 2025 as one of its most eventful years, defined by unprecedented institutional participation, major regulatory developments, and extreme price volatility.

World Liberty Financial recovers as community votes to unlock treasury funds for USD1 adoption

World Liberty Financial recovers over 3% on Friday, holding ground at a key support trendline. Community begins voting to unlock roughly 5% WLFI treasury funds to incentivize USD1 stablecoin adoption.

Crypto Today: Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP rebound amid bearish market conditions

Bitcoin (BTC) is edging higher, trading above $88,000 at the time of writing on Monday. Altcoins, including Ethereum (ETH) and Ripple (XRP), are following in BTC’s footsteps, experiencing relief rebounds following a volatile week.

Orange Juice Newsletter – Smart insights by real people. Every day.

A free newsletter highlighting key market trends to help traders stay a step ahead. Daily insights on the most relevant trading topics, compiled by our experts in an easy-to-read format so you never miss an important move.

Bitcoin: Fed delivers, yet fails to impress BTC traders

Bitcoin (BTC) continues de trade within the recent consolidation phase, hovering around $92,000 at the time of writing on Friday, as investors digest the Federal Reserve’s (Fed) cautious December rate cut and its implications for risk assets.