|

Cardano Price Prediction: ADA looks to retrace 13% as consolidation ensues

  • Cardano price has been in a consolidation phase, forming a rising wedge pattern.
  • A breakout from the lower trend line will likely result in a 13% pullback to $2.47.
  • If ADA climbs higher, producing a higher high above $3.11, it will end the bearish thesis.

Cardano price has been coiling up since August 23 swing high and shows signs of an incoming drop. ADA needs to break through the all-time high to invalidate the bearish thesis.

Cardano price decides on a directional bias

Cardano price set up three higher highs and four higher lows since August 21. Connecting these swing points using trend lines reveals the formation of a rising wedge. This technical pattern leans bearish, and a breach of the lower trend line forecasts an 18% downswing to $2.29, determined by measuring the distance between the first swing high and low and adding to the breakout point. 

However, this crash will not be a swift move lower due to the presence of multiple support levels. The dropping prices will encounter the $2.47 demand barrier, breaching which will push Cardano price down to $2.38. While the selling pressure is likely to exhaust here, investors should expect a retest of the $2.29.

ADA/USDT 4-hour chart

ADA/USDT 4-hour chart

As long as ADA stays above the lower trend line of the rising wedge, the bulls have nothing to fear. If the upper limit of the technical pattern is breached, it will indicate a resurgence of buyers. However, the bearish thesis will face invalidation only after ADA sets up a new all-time high above $3.11.

In such a case, Cardano price might head to $3.37, coinciding with the 161.8% Fibonacci extension level.

Author

Akash Girimath

Akash Girimath is a Mechanical Engineer interested in the chaos of the financial markets. Trying to make sense of this convoluted yet fascinating space, he switched his engineering job to become a crypto reporter and analyst.

More from Akash Girimath
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

Crypto market outlook for 2026

Year 2025 was volatile, as crypto often is.  Among positive catalysts were favourable regulatory changes in the U.S., rise of Digital Asset Treasuries (DAT), adoption of AI and tokenization of Real-World-Assets (RWA).

Sberbank issues Russia's first corporate loan backed by Bitcoin

Russia's largest bank Sberbank launched the country's first Bitcoin-backed corporate loan to miner Intelion Data. The pilot deal uses cryptocurrency as collateral through Sberbank's proprietary Rutoken custody solution.

Bitcoin recovers to $87,000 as retail optimism offsets steady ETF outflows

Bitcoin (BTC) trades above $88,000 at press time on Tuesday, following a rejection at $90,000 the previous day. Institutional support remains mixed amid steady outflow from US spot BTC Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs) and Strategy Inc.’s acquisition of 1,229 BTC last week.

Traders split over whether lighter’s LIT clears $3 billion FDV after launch

Lighter’s LIT token has not yet begun open trading, but the market has already drawn a sharp line around its valuation after Tuesday's airdrop.

Orange Juice Newsletter – Smart insights by real people. Every day.

A free newsletter highlighting key market trends to help traders stay a step ahead. Daily insights on the most relevant trading topics, compiled by our experts in an easy-to-read format so you never miss an important move.

Bitcoin: Fed delivers, yet fails to impress BTC traders

Bitcoin (BTC) continues de trade within the recent consolidation phase, hovering around $92,000 at the time of writing on Friday, as investors digest the Federal Reserve’s (Fed) cautious December rate cut and its implications for risk assets.