|

Cardano Price Forecast: ADA moves closer to colossal rally eyeing $2

  • Cardano is trading at that apex of a symmetrical triangle as a massive breakout lingers.
  • A break above the 50 SMA on the 4-hour chart will add weight to the expected upswing.
  • The slump in network growth could hamper the bullish outlook and delay the breakout.

Cardano is in the middle of consolidation following a breakdown from the all-time high at $1.49. Support established at $1 allowed bulls to focus on recovery. Meanwhile, ADA is nearing a critical breakout point, likely to see it hit $2.

Cardano technical breakout around the corner

The formation of a symmetrical triangle pattern on the 4-hour chart brings to light a potentially massive breakout to $2. These triangles do not have a bearish or a bullish bias and are created by connecting trendlines. One trendline links a series of decline peaks while the other links a series of ascending lows.

A breakout from the triangle is expected when the price slices through the upper trendline. On the other hand, a breakdown occurs when the price tumbles below the lower trendline. Triangles have precise targets measured from the highest to the lowest points.

Currently, Cardano is likely to make a breakout from the triangle, followed by a 68% upswing to $2. Besides, trading above the 50 Simple Moving Average (SMA) will validate the bullish outlook.

ADA/USD 4-hour chart

ADA/USD 4-hour chart

The Bollinger Bands have reinforced the ongoing consolidation. Cardano has also settled above the middle boundary as bulls fight for a breakout. The squeezing bands hint at a breakout in the near term.

ADA/USD 4-hour chart

ADA/USD 4-hour chart

Looking at the other side of the fence

According to IntoTheBlock, Cardano is currently dealing with decreasing network growth. In other words, the number of newly-created addresses has been decreasing since it topped out at nearly 73,000 on February 20. At the time of writing, unique addresses joining ADA stand at roughly 18,000, representing a 75% downswing.

Cardano network growth

Cardano network growth

It is worth keeping in mind that a slow or declining network growth is a bearish signal. The decrease interferes with the normal token inflow and outflow. Simultaneously, it shows that mainstream adoption is going down, hence hampering both price and network growth.

Author

John Isige

John Isige

FXStreet

John Isige is a seasoned cryptocurrency journalist and markets analyst committed to delivering high-quality, actionable insights tailored to traders, investors, and crypto enthusiasts. He enjoys deep dives into emerging Web3 tren

More from John Isige
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

Dogecoin ticks lower as low Open Interest, funding rate weigh on buyers

Dogecoin extends its decline as risk-off sentiment dominates across the crypto market. DOGE’s derivatives market remains weak amid suppressed futures Open Interest and perpetual funding rate.

Crypto Today: Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP decline as risk-off sentiment escalates

Bitcoin remains under pressure, trading above the $87,000 support at the time of writing on Tuesday. Selling pressure has continued to weigh on the broader cryptocurrency market since Monday, triggering declines across altcoins, including Ethereum and Ripple.

Chainlink risks further losses in early 2026 despite the ecosystem growth

Chainlink (LINK) is down 2% at press time on Tuesday, adding to a nearly 5% decline in December so far. The oracle token risks a negative close for the fourth straight month, potentially signaling a bearish start to 2026. 

Bitcoin retreats as $90,000 rejection, ETF outflows weigh on sentiment

Bitcoin continues to trade lower on Tuesday after failing to break the key $90,000 resistance level the previous day. US-listed spot ETFs record an outflow of $142.90 on Monday, while Strategy Inc. boosts its cash reserves to $2.19 billion.

Orange Juice Newsletter – Smart insights by real people. Every day.

A free newsletter highlighting key market trends to help traders stay a step ahead. Daily insights on the most relevant trading topics, compiled by our experts in an easy-to-read format so you never miss an important move.

Bitcoin: Fed delivers, yet fails to impress BTC traders

Bitcoin (BTC) continues de trade within the recent consolidation phase, hovering around $92,000 at the time of writing on Friday, as investors digest the Federal Reserve’s (Fed) cautious December rate cut and its implications for risk assets.