|

Can Cardano price drop lower after losing 80% since its all-time high?

  • Cardano price action displays a highly probable bearish continuation.
  • Another swift sell-off before buyers return is the most likely scenario.
  • Upside potential exists but will be difficult to achieve.

Cardano price action continues to dip lower and lower, following the broader market in a continued downtrend. Time cycles indicate relief may not come until June.

Cardano price enters the longest downtrend since 2018

Cardano price has recently achieved a significant and historical marker. That marker is ADA officially hitting the longest downtrend since 2018. Coincidentally, since reaching this new milestone, Cardano is very close to completing an extremely important time cycle.

In Gann Analysis, Gann’s Cycles of the Inner Year are used to identify when markets may find new swing highs or lows. Previously, in March, we identified the 180-day cycle as having a high probability of reversing prices. Cardano did respond to the 180-day cycle in March by rallying nearly 60%.

For Cardano price, the third most powerful Cycle of the Inner Year (90-day is first, 180-day is second) is the 270-day cycle. 270-days from the all-time high on September 2, 2021, is May 30, 2022.

ADA/USD Daily Ichimoku Kinko Hyo Chart

From a price action perspective, ADA has developed a bearish pennant. A bearish pennant is a triangle that forms after or during a downtrend and is often a pause in trend before resuming another run lower. This would likely mean a 30% or greater drop towards the $0.35 to $0.30 value area for Cardano price.

$0.30 to $0.35 is an exceptionally powerful support zone. First, it is the low of the monthly strong bar in the Fibonacci retracement from the all-time high. Second, $0.30 is the 2021 Volume Point of Control, and $0.35 is the upper range of that high volume node. Cardano price action indicates that a return to the $0.30 - $0.35 range may be inevitable.

Author

Jonathan Morgan

Jonathan Morgan

Independent Analyst

Jonathan has been working as an Independent future, forex, and cryptocurrency trader and analyst for 8 years. He also has been writing for the past 5 years.

More from Jonathan Morgan
Share:

Editor's Picks

Cosmos Hub Price Forecast: ATOM rebounds slightly, bearish outlook remains intact

Cosmos Hub (ATOM) price rebounds, trading above $2.05 at the time of writing on Wednesday, after undergoing a sharp correction since last week. Weakening on-chain and derivatives data support a bearish outlook, while technical analysis remains unfavorable.

BTC, ETH and XRP post cautious recovery amid downside risks

Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Ripple are posting a cautious recovery on Wednesday following a market correction earlier this week.  BTC is approaching a key breakdown level, while ETH and XRP are rebounding from crucial support levels. 

Top Crypto Gainers:  Morpho, Ether.fi, and Pippin rally amid market pressure

Altcoins, including Morpho, Ether.fi and Pippin are leading the gains over the last 24 hours as the broader cryptocurrency market remains under pressure. Technically, the recovery in MORPHO, ETHFI, and PIPPIN shows upside potential as buying pressure increases.

Hyperliquid registers mild gains following CoinShares' ETP launch

Hyperliquid (HYPE) registered a 3% gain on Tuesday after CoinShares announced the launch of its Physical Hyperliquid Staking exchange-traded product (ETP), offering investors exposure to the token's price and staking yields.

Bitcoin Price Annual Forecast: BTC holds long-term bullish structure heading into 2026

Bitcoin (BTC) is wrapping up 2025 as one of its most eventful years, defined by unprecedented institutional participation, major regulatory developments, and extreme price volatility.

Bitcoin: No recovery in sight

Bitcoin (BTC) price continues to trade within a range-bound zone, hovering around $67,000 at the time of writing on Friday, and falling slightly so far this week, with no signs of recovery.