Bitcoin's make-or-break moment: Will a consolidation breakout signal the next big move?

BTC/USD stuck between key levels: Can Bitcoin overcome resistance or is another support test on the horizon?

The broader cryptocurrency market ended December 2024 on a challenging note, following an explosive November surge that saw significant gains across major assets. Bitcoin (BTC/USD) remains the centre of attention, continuing its role as the market's bellwether and a driver of sentiment.

BTC/USD consolidates at key levels

As highlighted in our December 21, 2024 analysis, BTC/USD revisited the critical $91,735 support zone for the fifth time since its remarkable surge in November. Fast-forward to January 5, 2025, and Bitcoin has shown early signs of recovery, rising from $91,735 to $98,577—an over 7% increase worth $6,842.

This upward move brings cautious optimism for Bitcoin supporters and traders, setting a positive tone for 2025. Key market dynamics, including expectations surrounding the incoming US administration's pro-crypto stance, could drive renewed bullish momentum in the weeks ahead.

Technical overview: Consolidation hints at a critical breakout

Bitcoin's recent trading activity paints a picture of consolidation between the $98,996 resistance zone and $91,735 support—a pattern emerging since mid-December 2024. Traders should focus on these critical levels:

1. Bullish scenario: A clear breakout above $98,996 opens the door to a retest of the highly anticipated $100,000 psychological level and beyond. Sustaining momentum above this barrier could ignite widespread buying interest.
2. Bearish risk: Failure to break above $98,996 or a sharp rejection at this level might trigger another retest of the $91,735 support zone, increasing bearish pressure and exposing Bitcoin to further downside.

Market sentiment and next steps

With January typically bringing renewed activity to markets post-holiday, Bitcoin's ability to break out of this consolidation zone could set the tone for Q1 2025. Investors should also monitor developments tied to the US policy shifts, particularly in fostering institutional crypto adoption.

BTC/USD's next major move hinges on market participants breaking this standoff. Until then, caution and strategic positioning will be paramount as the crypto market waits for its next signal.

For further insights, revisit our detailed December 21 analysis here:

BTC/USD price chart highlights key levels and the consolidation phase