|

Bitcoin price prediction: something is brewing   - Confluence Detector

  • BTC/USD is in dormancy, waiting for something to happen.
  • The range is the same: $3,800-$3,900.

No wonder that we cannot proceed any further from where we are. The market is stuck between a rock and a hard place. Lack of focus on fundamentals and purely speculative trading makes it hard to foresee the movements.

However, one thing is sure: a sustainable breakthrough in either direction will set the ball rolling. BTC has been sitting in a tight range for too long, building momentum and waiting for an opportunity.

At the time of writing, BTC/USD is changing hands at $3,840, mostly unchanged in recent 24 hours.

BTC/USD the daily confluence detector

The resistance zone above the current price thickens. It goes all the way up to $3,920 and serves as a substantial barrier for BTC bulls. This area contains a series of significant technical including:

  • Midline Bollinger Band on 1-hour, 4-hour and daily charts, the upper boundary of 1-hour Bollinger Band, upper and middle line of 15-min Bollinger Band.
  • A series of significant SMA levels including SMA200 and SMA100 (1-hour), DMA5 and DMA10, SMA50 (4-hour) and a host of 15-min SMA levels.
  • Fibo retracement levels (38.2% daily and monthly, 23.6% weekly. 61.8% daily)

Once we manage to plow through, $4,000 and $4,200 will jump back into focus with very little in terms of resistance levels that may stop the upside. Most likely, the decisive breakthrough will result in a strong upside movement.

Below the current price, the support is created by SMA100 (4-hour), 23.6% Fibo retracement daily, 38.2% Fibo retracement weekly, lower boundaries of 1-hour and 4-hour Bollinger Bands.

A move below those barriers will take us under $3,800 with the next support seem around $3,700. It is created by DMA50, the lower line of daily Bollinger Band and 61.8% Fibo retracement monthly

BTC/USD, 1D

Author

Tanya Abrosimova

Tanya Abrosimova

Independent Analyst

 

More from Tanya Abrosimova
Share:

Editor's Picks

Ripple Price Forecast: XRP potential bottom could be in sight

Ripple edges up above the intraday low of $1.35 at the time of writing on Friday amid mixed price actions across the crypto market. The remittance token failed to hold support at $1.40 the previous day, reflecting risk-off sentiment amid a decline in retail and institutional sentiment. 

Crypto Today: Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP in choppy price action, weighed down by falling institutional interest 

Bitcoin holds above support at $65,118 at the time of writing on Friday. Ethereum remains choppy in a narrow range between support at $1,900 and resistance at $2,000, while Ripple attempts another upward move toward the pivotal $1.40 level.

PancakeSwap Price Analysis: Bearish momentum suggests further downside

PancakeSwap (CAKE) is trading below $1.26 at the time of writing on Friday, extending the losses by over 8% so far this week. The weakening derivatives market further supports the bearish outlook, with bears aiming for levels below $1.18.

Decred Price Forecast: DCR rebounds toward key resistance zone on volume spike

Decred (DCR) rebounds over 7% at press time on Friday after a three-day decline of almost 14%. Roughly 60% increase in trading volume over the last 24 hours supports the recovery, suggesting heightened spot-market demand. 

Bitcoin Price Annual Forecast: BTC holds long-term bullish structure heading into 2026

Bitcoin (BTC) is wrapping up 2025 as one of its most eventful years, defined by unprecedented institutional participation, major regulatory developments, and extreme price volatility.

Bitcoin: BTC bears aren’t done yet

Bitcoin (BTC) price slips below $67,000 at the time of writing on Friday, remaining under pressure and extending losses of nearly 5% so far this week.