|

Bitcoin Price Prediction: All eyes on the Fed

  • BTC price auctions with an uptick in bullish volume.
  • Bitcoin price has space to fall on the Relative Strength Index, which confounds the Fed’s demand for higher interest rates.
  • Invalidation of the bearish thesis is a breach above $23,742.

Bitcoin price shows reasons to believe in one more sell-off. The invalidation point is tight enough to participate in the opposing idea.

Bitcoin price is not the knife to catch

Bitcoin price shows concerning signals during the final trading week of July. After rallying 18% this month, the original peer-to-peer cryptocurrency has retraced into a previous congestion zone. Usually, this kind of occurrence demonstrates trend failure. What many traders expect will hold as support inevitably turns into quicksand.

Bitcoin price currently trades at $21,610 as the world awaits an upcoming Fed interest rate decision. The Fed is expected to raise rates by 75 bps to lift the fed funds rate to the 2.25-2.5% range.

tm/btc/7/26/22

BTC/USDT 12-Hour Chart

Based on the technicals and for the safety of our readers, this thesis will remain bearish until newfound strength enters the market. In trading terms “Bitcoin price is not the knife to catch” there is a subtle uptick in bearish volume that is worth noting. Additionally, The Relative Strength Index still has space to fall. The bearish targets of $17,000 and $16,200 have been outlined in a previous outlook. The catalyst maker would be a breach through $20,850.

Invalidation of the bearish thesis is a breach above $23,742. If the bulls can conquer this barrier, they may be able to rally as high as $27,750, resulting in a 29% increase from the current Bitcoin price. 

In the following video, our analysts deep dive into the price action of Bitcoin, analyzing key levels of inerest in the market. -FXStreet Team

Author

Tony M.

Tony M.

FXStreet Contributor

Tony Montpeirous began investing in cryptocurrencies in 2017. His trading style incorporates Elliot Wave, Auction Market Theory, Fibonacci and price action as the cornerstone of his technical analysis.

More from Tony M.
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

Crypto market outlook for 2026

Year 2025 was volatile, as crypto often is.  Among positive catalysts were favourable regulatory changes in the U.S., rise of Digital Asset Treasuries (DAT), adoption of AI and tokenization of Real-World-Assets (RWA).

Sberbank issues Russia's first corporate loan backed by Bitcoin

Russia's largest bank Sberbank launched the country's first Bitcoin-backed corporate loan to miner Intelion Data. The pilot deal uses cryptocurrency as collateral through Sberbank's proprietary Rutoken custody solution.

Bitcoin recovers to $87,000 as retail optimism offsets steady ETF outflows

Bitcoin (BTC) trades above $88,000 at press time on Tuesday, following a rejection at $90,000 the previous day. Institutional support remains mixed amid steady outflow from US spot BTC Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs) and Strategy Inc.’s acquisition of 1,229 BTC last week.

Traders split over whether lighter’s LIT clears $3 billion FDV after launch

Lighter’s LIT token has not yet begun open trading, but the market has already drawn a sharp line around its valuation after Tuesday's airdrop.

Orange Juice Newsletter – Smart insights by real people. Every day.

A free newsletter highlighting key market trends to help traders stay a step ahead. Daily insights on the most relevant trading topics, compiled by our experts in an easy-to-read format so you never miss an important move.

Bitcoin: Fed delivers, yet fails to impress BTC traders

Bitcoin (BTC) continues de trade within the recent consolidation phase, hovering around $92,000 at the time of writing on Friday, as investors digest the Federal Reserve’s (Fed) cautious December rate cut and its implications for risk assets.