|

Bitcoin Price Analysis: BTC/USD tests 200-day SMA near $8,700

  • Bitcoin lost its traction after finding resistance near 20-day SMA on Saturday.
  • RSI on the daily chart continues to edge lower below the 50 mark.

Bitcoin (BTC/USD) struggled to climb above the 20-day SMA on Saturday and extended its slide after breaking below the key Fibonacci support near $9,100. As of writing, Bitcoin was trading at $8,740, erasing nearly 2% on a daily basis.

Technical outlook

The RSI indicator on the daily chart failed to advance beyond the 50 handle on Friday and started to edge lower to show that the selling pressure on the pair is building up. Additionally, the 20-day SMA and the 50-day SMA, which made a bearish cross on Thursday, both float above the current price to confirm the near-term bearish outlook.

The initial support for the pair is located at $8,700 (200-day SMA/Fibonacci 50% retracement of January-mid-February rally). A weekly close below that level could attract more sellers and drag the pair lower toward $8,400 (March 1 low/100-day SMA).

On the upside, $9,100-$9,200 area (Fibonacci 38.2% retracement of the same rally/20-day SMA/Friday high/Saturday high) could be seen as the first resistance ahead of $9,300 (50-day SMA) and $9,500 (Fibonacci 23.6% retracement of the same rally).

BTC/USD daily chart

Author

Eren Sengezer

As an economist at heart, Eren Sengezer specializes in the assessment of the short-term and long-term impacts of macroeconomic data, central bank policies and political developments on financial assets.

More from Eren Sengezer
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

Crypto market outlook for 2026

Year 2025 was volatile, as crypto often is.  Among positive catalysts were favourable regulatory changes in the U.S., rise of Digital Asset Treasuries (DAT), adoption of AI and tokenization of Real-World-Assets (RWA).

Sberbank issues Russia's first corporate loan backed by Bitcoin

Russia's largest bank Sberbank launched the country's first Bitcoin-backed corporate loan to miner Intelion Data. The pilot deal uses cryptocurrency as collateral through Sberbank's proprietary Rutoken custody solution.

Bitcoin recovers to $87,000 as retail optimism offsets steady ETF outflows

Bitcoin (BTC) trades above $88,000 at press time on Tuesday, following a rejection at $90,000 the previous day. Institutional support remains mixed amid steady outflow from US spot BTC Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs) and Strategy Inc.’s acquisition of 1,229 BTC last week.

Traders split over whether lighter’s LIT clears $3 billion FDV after launch

Lighter’s LIT token has not yet begun open trading, but the market has already drawn a sharp line around its valuation after Tuesday's airdrop.

Orange Juice Newsletter – Smart insights by real people. Every day.

A free newsletter highlighting key market trends to help traders stay a step ahead. Daily insights on the most relevant trading topics, compiled by our experts in an easy-to-read format so you never miss an important move.

Bitcoin: Fed delivers, yet fails to impress BTC traders

Bitcoin (BTC) continues de trade within the recent consolidation phase, hovering around $92,000 at the time of writing on Friday, as investors digest the Federal Reserve’s (Fed) cautious December rate cut and its implications for risk assets.