Bitcoin holds $40K as on-balance volume hints at multi-month BTC price breakout

Bitcoin (BTC) narrowed its consolidation range on March 18 as the TradFi trading week looked set to end with $40,000 still in place.

BTC/USD 1-hour candle chart (Bitstamp). Source: TradingView

Traders patiently await paradigm shift

Data from Cointelegraph Markets Pro and TradingView showed BTC/USD preserving $40,000 support overnight and with it, the area highlighted as “crucial” by analysis Thursday.

Macro cues had lessened following the United States Federal Reserve rate hike confirmation, with a lack of new triggers from Europe steadying markets overall.

For popular trader Crypto Ed, the next few days should see either a continuation to a target zone of $43,000 or a breakdown of the current trend.

Analyzing his Elliot Wave setup for the 4-hour BTC/USD chart. However, he noted that the cycle was “still bearish” prior to a range high of $45,000 being broken — something which could happen after another few consolidatory moves in between.

Those moves, specifically a strong bounce during the retracement, “would be my signal to go long,” he said in a YouTube update on March 17.

Other participants were increasingly bullish on the outlook, too, with Twitter trader Zima even highlighting a long-term trend breakout for on-balance volume (OBV).

As Cointelegraph previously reported, increasing OBV reflects growing demand for an asset at the current traded price. For Bitcoin, the time appeared to be the night for exiting a sideways price zone in place since as far back as January 2021.

“I haven’t moved a single line on my OBV since I started tracking the move 8 weeks ago,” Zima commented.

“We have broken out of the wedge to the top side and are flipping the 20 day OBVMA. We are on the cusp of a multi month bullish continuation after a year of crab.”

Fellow account Allen Au added to the optimism, eyeing a potential move out of Bitcoin's 2022 range with $46,000 as its top.

Lightning Network reaches new capacity highs

The week came with a new achievement for Bitcoin network growth, notably the Lightning Network, which passed 3,500 BTC capacity.

Part of the so-called “layer 2” technology on Bitcoin, Lightning allows instantaneous off-chain transactions to be sent en masse at practically zero cost.

The technology has been in place for several years, and has quietly grown behind the scenes to cater to increasing volume and mainstream consumers.

“Don‘t sleep on the Lightning Network, which continues to grow at an impressive pace,” on-chain analyst Dylan LeClair commented on the statistics.

Lightning Network capacity (in BTC and USD terms) chart. Source: Bitcoin Visuals